Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Prediction

Form guide: goals at one end, draws at the other

Nacional's last 20 matches have brought 13 wins against just four defeats, with 40 goals scored and only 17 conceded. That's a strong scoring record, even if there have been a couple of heavy defeats mixed in, including a 1-4 and a 1-5 reverse.

Atletico Nacional: 20 completed matches; Santa Fe: 20 completed matches.

Atletico Nacional

20 matches

Win

70% 14 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

41

Conceded

16

Difference

+25

Santa Fe

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

45% 9 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

26

Conceded

18

Difference

+8

Santa Fe's sample looks very different. Eight wins and nine draws from 20 games shows a side that grinds out points rather than bursts clear of opponents. Their goals for and against are both more modest than Nacional's.

Santa Fe draw close to half their matches, which is worth bearing in mind against a side that scores freely.

Comparative Team Statistics: Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe

Head-to-head: a fairly even rivalry

Looking back over recent meetings, this fixture has swung both ways. Santa Fe have won away at Nacional more than once in the last couple of seasons, and there have been draws too, so there's no obvious pattern of one side dominating.

Further back the head-to-head record includes some lopsided scorelines in both directions, but that's history rather than a guide to current form.

Where they sit in the table

Atletico Nacional are top of the standings we have, with 40 points from 19 games, and also sit second in another table snapshot with 26 points from 12. Either way, they're clearly among the division's leading sides.

Santa Fe sit seventh in both readings, with 29 points from 19 games and 22 from 13. That's respectable mid-table form rather than anything flashy.

Firepower to watch

A. Morelos leads Nacional's scoring with 14 goals, matched exactly by Santa Fe's H. Rodallega, who also has 14. N. Bustos adds another nine for Santa Fe, so the visitors aren't short of goal threat themselves.

Atletico Nacional:

Best scorers:

A. Morelos - 14

Best assist providers:

J. Rengifo - 7

A. Morelos - 6

A. Sarmiento - 6

Penalty cards:

A. Román x 1 x 7

A. Morelos x 9

E. Cardona x 9

Santa Fe:

Best scorers:

H. Rodallega - 14

N. Bustos - 9

Best assist providers:

O. Fernández - 8

N. Bustos - 5

Penalty cards:

D. Torres x 2 x 4

H. Palacios x 2 x 3

On the creative side, O. Fernández has eight assists for Santa Fe, just ahead of Nacional's J. Rengifo on seven. A few players on both sides, including D. Torres and H. Palacios for Santa Fe, have picked up red cards this season, though that's not the same as confirming anyone misses this match.

How this one might play out

Nacional's home-friendly scoring form, set against Santa Fe's tendency to draw rather than lose, points to a contest that could go either way on the scoreboard even if the table favours the hosts.

The head-to-head history backs that up: these two have rarely been far apart, and Santa Fe have shown they can get results in this fixture even away from home.