Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Prediction

Recent form: two very different patterns

Nacional's last 20 matches, spanning league, cup and friendly fixtures, read 14 wins, two draws and four losses, with 41 goals scored against 18 conceded. That's a heavy scoring rate and suggests a side that's rarely troubled defensively either.

Atletico Nacional: 20 completed matches; Santa Fe: 20 completed matches.

Atletico Nacional

20 matches

Win

70% 14 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

42

Conceded

18

Difference

+24

Santa Fe

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

28

Conceded

16

Difference

+12

Santa Fe's sample over the same period looks quite different: 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses, with 26 goals for and 15 against across league, cup, Copa Sudamericana and Libertadores football. Nine draws in twenty games points to a team that's tough to break down but not always turning matches into three points.

Nacional look the more direct, higher-scoring side on recent evidence, while Santa Fe's results lean towards stalemates rather than defeats.

Comparative Team Statistics: Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe

Head-to-head: no settled pattern

Looking back through recent meetings between these two, results have gone in both directions. There's a 5-0 Nacional home win and a 3-0 away win for Nacional in there, alongside several draws and at least one Santa Fe win on the road.

The most recent meeting, back in February 2026, went to Nacional. But the pattern before that shows both sides capable of winning or drawing depending on the day, so this fixture's history doesn't strongly favour either team.

League table: Nacional sit well clear

In the current standings, Atletico Nacional top their table with 40 points from 19 games, built on 13 wins against just five losses. Santa Fe sit in seventh with 29 points from the same number of matches, having drawn eight of them.

That gap in points backs up what the form figures suggest: Nacional have been converting good form into results more consistently this season.

Key men: Morelos and Rodallega carrying the goals

Nacional's main threat is Alexis Morelos, who has 14 goals in 30 appearances this season and also chips in with assists. Santa Fe's H. Rodallega matches him exactly on 14 goals, albeit from 32 games, with N. Bustos adding nine more.

Atletico Nacional:

Best scorers:

A. Morelos - 14

Best assist providers:

J. Rengifo - 7

A. Morelos - 6

A. Sarmiento - 6

Penalty cards:

A. Román x 1 x 7

A. Morelos x 9

E. Cardona x 9

Santa Fe:

Best scorers:

H. Rodallega - 14

N. Bustos - 9

Best assist providers:

O. Fernández - 8

N. Bustos - 5

Penalty cards:

D. Torres x 2 x 4

H. Palacios x 2 x 3

On the creative side, Santa Fe's O. Fernández leads with eight assists, just ahead of Nacional's J. Rengifo on seven. A couple of players on both sides carry disciplinary baggage too, including two reds for Santa Fe's D. Torres, which is worth bearing in mind for a physical Primera A fixture.