AEK Athens host Real Madrid in the Champions League. Real Madrid have been winning with real regularity across the last few months, while AEK's results have been more of a mixed bag domestically and in Europe.
Both sides have found the net plenty of times this season, yet AEK have actually been tighter at the back in their home continental fixtures. That contrast is worth unpacking before getting into how this one might unfold.
Analysis updated .
Where to place this bet
Form Guide
Real Madrid's recent sample is about as strong as it gets: 17 wins from 20 matches, with only two defeats, and 52 goals scored against 21 conceded. Even in games they've lost, like the narrow 3-4 away win at Roma or the 1-2 defeat at Elche, they've still been scoring freely.
What could your bet return?
Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.
AEK Athens FC: 20 completed matches; Real Madrid: 20 completed matches.
AEK Athens FC
- Win
- 65% 13 / 20
- Draw
- 15% 3 / 20
- Loss
- 20% 4 / 20
- Scored
- 52
- Conceded
- 20
- Difference
- +32
Real Madrid
- Win
- 85% 17 / 20
- Draw
- 5% 1 / 20
- Loss
- 10% 2 / 20
- Scored
- 52
- Conceded
- 21
- Difference
- +31
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cup | PAOK | AEK Athens FC | 28.10.2026 | 3-1 |
| Super League 1 | AEK Athens FC | Panetolikos | 24.10.2026 | 5-0 |
| UEFA Champions League | Manchester City | AEK Athens FC | 20.10.2026 | 5-1 |
| UEFA Champions League | Shakhtar Donetsk | AEK Athens FC | 14.10.2026 | 3-1 |
| Super League 1 | AEK Athens FC | OFI | 10.10.2026 | 3-0 |
| Super League 1 | Volos NFC | AEK Athens FC | 20.09.2026 | 1-2 |
| Cup | AEK Athens FC | Panserraikos | 17.09.2026 | 8-1 |
| Super League 1 | Asteras Tripolis | AEK Athens FC | 13.09.2026 | 1-1 |
| UEFA Champions League | AEK Athens FC | Lask Linz | 08.09.2026 | 1-0 |
| Super League 1 | AEK Athens FC | Aris Thessalonikis | 05.09.2026 | 5-0 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | Barcelona | Real Madrid | 25.10.2026 | 1-2 |
| UEFA Champions League | Real Madrid | RB Leipzig | 21.10.2026 | 4-1 |
| La Liga | Real Madrid | Sevilla | 18.10.2026 | 4-1 |
| UEFA Champions League | AS Roma | Real Madrid | 14.10.2026 | 3-4 |
| La Liga | Real Madrid | Villarreal | 10.10.2026 | 1-0 |
| La Liga | Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | 20.09.2026 | 2-1 |
| La Liga | Elche | Real Madrid | 15.09.2026 | 2-3 |
| La Liga | Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | 12.09.2026 | 4-1 |
| UEFA Champions League | Real Madrid | Inter | 08.09.2026 | 2-1 |
| La Liga | Real Betis | Real Madrid | 04.09.2026 | 1-0 |
AEK's form is more uneven. They've won 13 of their last 20 but lost four and drawn three, including a 1-1 at home to Asteras and a 1-2 loss away at Volos. Their European form stands out a bit more, with wins over Shakhtar Donetsk and Lask Linz and a 0-0 draw away at Levski Sofia, though they did ship five goals away at Manchester City.
AEK's continental home form looks sturdier than their overall record suggests.
Comparative Team Statistics: AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid
League Phase Table
Going off the two league phase matches played so far, Real Madrid sit on six points from two wins, while AEK have three points from one win and one loss. It's an early snapshot rather than a full picture of the group, but it does show Real Madrid already ahead on both points and goal difference.
| № | Team | Played | Win | Draw | Loss | GF/GA | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12/7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10/5 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7/4 | 9 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4/9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3/8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3/8 | 3 |
Team News
There isn't much to go on here beyond AEK's scoring options. Barnabas Varga has two goals in three matches, making him their most productive forward in the sample we have, but that's not enough to draw conclusions about the wider squad or any fitness concerns on either side.
How This One Could Play Out
Real Madrid's away form points to another high-scoring night, especially given how often they've hit three or four goals on the road this year. AEK, though, have generally defended well in their three home Champions League games so far this season, conceding just one goal across those matches.
That makes it harder to assume a one-sided scoreline is guaranteed, even with the gap in overall quality. Real Madrid's control of games has been consistent, but AEK haven't been easy to break down at home in Europe specifically.
Match odds and squad lists
Squad and player details
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Mário | Portugal | 33 | Midfielder | 179 | 73 |
| P. Mantalos | Greece | 35 | Midfielder | 176 | 73 |
| L. Majer | Croatia | 28 | Midfielder | 178 | 76 |
| M. Gaćinović | Serbia | 31 | Midfielder | 175 | 67 |
| L. Jović | Serbia | 28 | Attacker | 181 | 78 |
| T. Strakosha | Albania | 31 | Goalkeeper | 186 | 78 |
| D. Vida | Croatia | 37 | Defender | 184 | 76 |
| R. Marin | Romania | 30 | Midfielder | 178 | 70 |
| B. Varga | Hungary | 32 | Attacker | 181 | 74 |
| A. Koita | Belgium | 28 | Midfielder | 175 | 69 |
| H. Moukoudi | Cameroon | 28 | Defender | 191 | 96 |
| S. Pilios | Greece | 25 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| M. Vitális | Hungary | 24 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| C. Lykogiannis | Greece | 33 | Defender | 190 | 82 |
| A. Brignoli | Italy | 35 | Goalkeeper | 188 | 79 |
| D. Kutesa | Switzerland | 28 | Midfielder | 177 | 76 |
| K. Kairinen | Finland | 27 | Midfielder | 186 | 70 |
| L. Rota | Greece | 29 | Defender | 177 | 67 |
| O. Zubkov | Ukraine | 30 | Midfielder | 182 | 78 |
| K. Arriaga | Honduras | 28 | Midfielder | 191 | 77 |
| Filipe Relvas | Portugal | 27 | Defender | 192 cm | 78 kg |
| Zini | Angola | 24 | Attacker | 181 | 73 |
| Dimitrios Kaloskamis | Greece | 21 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| C. Alexiou | Greece | 21 | Defender | 184 cm | 79 kg |
| M. Todorski | Bulgaria | 22 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| Marios Balamotis | n/a | n/a | Goalkeeper | n/a | n/a |
| S. Christakopoulos | n/a | n/a | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| Argyris Argyriou | Greece | 17 | Forward | n/a | n/a |
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dumfries | Netherlands | 30 | Defender | 188 | 80 |
| Kylian Mbappé | France | 27 | Attacker | 178 | 75 |
| T. Alexander-Arnold | England | 28 | Defender | 175 | 67 |
| Éder Militão | Brazil | 28 | Defender | 186 | 78 |
| Bernardo Silva | Portugal | 32 | Midfielder | 173 | 65 |
| T. Courtois | Belgium | 34 | Goalkeeper | 200 | 96 |
| Brahim Díaz | Morocco | 27 | Midfielder | 171 | 59 |
| F. Valverde | Uruguay | 28 | Midfielder | 182 | 78 |
| Vinícius Júnior | Brazil | 26 | Midfielder | 176 | 73 |
| I. Konaté | France | 27 | Defender | 194 | 95 |
| A. Tchouaméni | France | 26 | Midfielder | 187 | 81 |
| E. Camavinga | France | 23 | Midfielder | 182 | 68 |
| A. Rüdiger | Germany | 33 | Defender | 190 | 85 |
| Marc Cucurella | Spain | 28 | Defender | 174 | 66 |
| A. Lunin | Ukraine | 27 | Goalkeeper | 191 | 80 |
| J. Bellingham | England | 23 | Midfielder | 186 | 75 |
| Álvaro Fernández | Spain | 23 | Defender | 186 | 78 |
| A. Güler | Türkiye | 21 | Midfielder | 176 | 67 |
| Raúl Asencio | Spain | 23 | Defender | 184 | 79 |
| D. Huijsen | Netherlands | 21 | Defender | 195 | 87 |
| Endrick | Brazil | 20 | Attacker | 173 | 66 |
| Sergio Mestre | Spain | 21 | Goalkeeper | 193 | 80 |
| Carlos Espí | Spain | 21 | Attacker | 185 | 90 |
| Mario Rivas | Spain | 19 | Defender | 188 cm | 73 kg |
| I. Voloshyn | Ukraine | 19 | Goalkeeper | 202 cm | n/a |
| Javier Navarro | Spain | 19 | Goalkeeper | n/a | n/a |
| Thiago Pitarch | Spain | 19 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| Y. Diomande | Côte d'Ivoire | 19 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| Sergio Martínez | Spain | 19 | Midfielder | 185 cm | n/a |
| A. Ciria | n/a | n/a | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| J. Cestero Sancho | n/a | n/a | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
The gap in recent form and the early league phase standings both point firmly towards Real Madrid. Backing the straight win feels like the more sensible route rather than leaning on a specific margin, given AEK's tendency to stay compact at home in Europe.
A win for the visitors looks the clearest outcome here, even if the final scoreline is less certain than the result itself.
Match result odds
Who will win?
