Arbroath vs Raith Rovers Prediction

Contrasting recent runs

Arbroath have lost their last four league outings, a run that's dragged their home form into real trouble. Before that dip they'd actually won at home against Queen's Park, so it's not been a total collapse, but the recent trend is clearly negative.

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1

Arbroath to win

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Odds3.7

Potential return

£74.00

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Draw

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Odds3.25

Potential return

£65.00

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2

Raith Rovers to win

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Odds1.83

Potential return

£36.60

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Arbroath: 20 completed matches; Raith Rovers: 20 completed matches.

Arbroath

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

55% 11 / 20

Scored

21

Conceded

31

Difference

-10

Raith Rovers

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

30

Conceded

16

Difference

+14

Raith haven't been flawless either. Their last five includes a home defeat to Inverness CT and a draw away at Stenhousemuir, mixed in with two wins. It's a decent record overall, just not the flawless march the table position might imply.

Raith remain the more reliable side, but their away form has had its bumps too.

Comparative Team Statistics: Arbroath vs Raith Rovers

A head-to-head with recent history

These two met last month in this exact fixture, and Raith won comfortably at home. It followed a pattern of recent meetings where Raith have usually come out on top, including a couple of away wins at Arbroath's place too.

It isn't completely one-sided, though. Arbroath won away at Raith back in January, and there's been the odd draw in among the results. So while Raith have the upper hand historically, Arbroath have shown they can cause an upset when it matters.

The league table tells its own story

Raith sit second in the Championship, while Arbroath are down in eighth after the same number of games. The points gap between them is significant, built on Raith's tighter defence and Arbroath conceding freely at the other end.

That gap lines up with what we've seen in recent form and head-to-head results. Arbroath's goal difference in particular points to a side that's been giving up chances regularly this season.

How this one might play out

Arbroath will need to find some defensive solidity quickly, having shipped goals in bunches recently and lost four league games on the spin. Raith, by contrast, arrive with a tighter defensive record and the platform of a strong league position behind them.

Given Arbroath's home struggles and Raith's historical dominance in this fixture, it's easy to see Raith controlling large spells. The recent meeting here ended in a heavy home defeat for Arbroath, and nothing in the data suggests a reversal is especially likely.