Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. Prediction & Betting Tips

Form heading into this one

Velez Sarsfield have picked up 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 matches across competitions, scoring 27 and conceding 18. That's a side that rarely loses, even if plenty of those results have been draws rather than wins.

Velez Sarsfield: 20 completed matches; Gimnasia M.: 20 completed matches.

Velez Sarsfield

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

45% 9 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

18

Difference

+9

Gimnasia M.

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

22

Difference

+2

Gimnasia M. have a similar overall record on paper, 8 wins and 6 losses from 20 games, but the goal difference is tighter and the run has been bumpier. A 5-1 win over Independiente Rivadavia sits alongside a 0-3 defeat to Independiente and a 2-3 loss away at Gimnasia L.P., so form has swung both ways.

Velez's draw-heavy sample suggests they're hard to beat, not that they're routinely blowing teams away.

Comparative Team Statistics: Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M.

One meeting on record

The only previous meeting we have on file came in April, when Gimnasia M. won 3-2 at their own ground. That was the reverse fixture, so it doesn't tell us much about how Velez perform at home against this particular opponent.

Where they sit in the table

The table snapshots we have show Velez comfortably above Gimnasia in both readings, sitting third with 28 points from 16 games in one cut, and second with 20 points from 10 games in another. Gimnasia sit eleventh with 19 points from 16 games in one version, and fourth with 17 points from 10 in the other.

These look like two separate stages of the season rather than one continuous table, but either way Velez come out placed higher than Gimnasia in both versions.

Even allowing for two overlapping data sets, Velez's league position is clearly the stronger one right now.

Key names to watch

Gimnasia's main threat going forward is A. Módica, who has 12 goals in 22 appearances this season, with F. Lencioni supplying 7 assists from midfield.

Velez Sarsfield:

Best assist providers:

D. Valdés - 6

M. Pellegrini - 5

Gimnasia M.:

Best assist providers:

F. Lencioni - 7

Velez don't have quite the same standout scorer, R. Martínez leads the way with 8 goals in 25 games, but they spread the creative load between D. Valdés and M. Pellegrini, who have 6 and 5 assists respectively.

Gimnasia's F. Saavedra has picked up 2 yellow cards and 2 reds in just 13 appearances, so their discipline is worth keeping an eye on, though that's not confirmation he'll be missing this particular game.

A month still to play out

This preview is written a few weeks before kickoff on 18 October, so today's form lines aren't guaranteed to hold by the time the teams actually meet. Both sides have shown they can swing from tight, low-scoring games to more open, high-scoring ones, so it's not a fixture with an obvious script.