Sudan vs Senegal Prediction

Form away from the table

Senegal's recent sample covers a lot of ground - World Cup qualifiers, AFCON duties and friendlies against teams like Brazil, Belgium and France. Across 20 matches they've won 10, drawn 2 and lost 8, scoring 41 goals along the way. Some of those defeats came against top sides at the World Cup, which says more about the calibre of opposition than any dip in form.

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1

Sudan to win

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Draw

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Odds5.15

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2

Senegal to win

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Odds1.18

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Sudan: 17 completed matches; Senegal: 20 completed matches.

Sudan

17 matches

Win

23.5% 4 / 17

Draw

29.4% 5 / 17

Loss

47.1% 8 / 17

Scored

9

Conceded

22

Difference

-13

Senegal

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

41

Conceded

23

Difference

+18

Sudan's record over a similar stretch is tougher reading. From 17 matches they've won just 4, drawn 5 and lost 8, shipping 22 goals against only 9 scored. That points to a side who have struggled to create and have also been breached regularly at the back.

Comparative Team Statistics: Sudan vs Senegal

Recent head-to-head

Senegal and Sudan have faced each other five times since March 2025, and Senegal remain unbeaten in that run. The most recent meeting in January 2026 saw Senegal win 3-1, and a September 2025 World Cup qualifier went the same way, 2-0 to Senegal.

Three of the five recent meetings finished level, two goalless draws and a 1-1, showing Sudan can make this a tight contest even without getting the win. The head-to-head record favours Senegal, but not by a landslide.

Sudan have avoided defeat in three of the last five meetings, so a repeat of their usual gulf in class isn't guaranteed.

Where the group stands

Senegal top this qualifying group with 13 points from 5 games, built on a defence that's conceded just once all campaign. Sudan sit second with 8 points from 6 matches, a record built on 2 wins and 2 draws alongside 2 losses.

The points gap is meaningful, but Sudan have played an extra match and their goal difference is far less flattering, 4 for and 6 against. That suggests Senegal are the stronger side in this group so far, even allowing for the different number of games played.

What to expect

This fixture is still a month away from the October data snapshot, so injuries, suspensions and squad rotation could all shift the picture before kickoff. Senegal's squad has recently featured against elite opposition at the World Cup, which hints at strength in depth even if some of those games ended in defeat.

Sudan will have home advantage and the motivation of closing the gap at the top, but their defensive numbers across the broader sample suggest it could be hard to keep Senegal quiet. The recent head-to-head has shown Sudan can at least avoid heavy losses, even if they haven't found a way to win.