St. Truiden vs Lommel United Prediction

How each side arrives here

St. Truiden's last 20 matches show 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses, with some big swings either way, a 4-0 win over RAAL La Louvière, a 0-3 home loss to Union SG, and a 4-2 Europa League win over Omonia. It's a side capable of scoring freely but also leaking goals when things go against them.

St. Truiden: 20 completed matches; Lommel United: 20 completed matches.

St. Truiden

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

26

Difference

+12

Lommel United

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

33

Conceded

27

Difference

+6

Lommel United have a similar overall record in this sample, 10 wins from 20, but their recent domestic form has dipped. A 5-0 defeat away at Union SG and back-to-back league losses to Cercle Brugge and Club Brugge stand out. They did, though, win their most recent match, a Cup tie against Diksmuide.

Lommel's cup pedigree in their last outing offers a small counterweight to their shakier league results.

A history of draws, but a small sample

These two have only met twice in the available records, and both ended 1-1, one in the league this past August, the other a friendly back in 2020. That's not much to build a pattern on, but it does show neither side has found a way past the other recently.

Two draws from two meetings hints at tight, low-scoring afternoons, though the sample is far too small to lean on heavily.

What to expect from a cup tie

This fixture sits over two weeks beyond the form data we have, so neither side's current rhythm is guaranteed to carry through to kickoff. Cup ties can also bring team changes that league form doesn't account for.

Given the August draw and the scrappy edges in both teams' recent results, this has the look of a contest that could go either way, especially in a one-off knockout format.