Senegal vs Sudan Prediction

Contrasting recent form

Senegal's last 20 matches span everything from World Cup qualifiers to high-profile friendlies against the likes of France and Brazil, and they've won half of them while scoring 41 goals. That sample includes some seriously tough opposition, so it's not a pure like-for-like with what Sudan will offer, but it shows a side capable of putting goals together.

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1

Senegal to win

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Odds1.05

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Draw

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Odds7.6

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2

Sudan to win

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Odds17

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Senegal: 20 completed matches; Sudan: 17 completed matches.

Senegal

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

41

Conceded

23

Difference

+18

Sudan

17 matches

Win

23.5% 4 / 17

Draw

29.4% 5 / 17

Loss

47.1% 8 / 17

Scored

9

Conceded

22

Difference

-13

Sudan's equivalent run reads very differently. Four wins from 17, with only 9 goals scored and 22 conceded, including some heavy defeats to sides like Niger and Algeria. Scoring goals has clearly been the bigger problem for them, not just results.

Sudan's struggle to find the net on the road is the more relevant pattern heading into this one.

Comparative Team Statistics: Senegal vs Sudan

Senegal have had the upper hand lately

The two most recent full-strength meetings both went Senegal's way comfortably: 3-1 in January 2026 and 2-0 back in September 2025. Before that, though, there were two draws between the sides in the African Nations Championship, a competition that uses home-based players rather than the full squads involved here, so those results sit in a slightly different context.

Going further back, a 2018 Africa Cup of Nations double-header split one win apiece. It's old enough now that it tells us little about where either side stands today.

When both nations have fielded their strongest squads recently, Senegal have won clearly each time.

Early days in the group

Only two matches have been played by each side in this section of the table, with Senegal top on 4 points and Sudan third on 3. It's a tight picture numerically, though with just two games in and only these two teams visible here, it's far too early to read much into group position.

Shaping up as one-sided

Put the recent head-to-head results alongside Sudan's away form and a pattern emerges: Senegal scoring freely against this opponent, Sudan struggling to create or finish chances on the road. That combination usually points towards a fairly comfortable night for the home side rather than a tight contest.

The uncertainty isn't really about who wins. It's about whether Senegal can turn that general dominance into a properly one-sided scoreline, given they haven't always blown teams away even when favoured.