Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City Prediction

Recent form tells two different stories

St. Louis City's last 20 matches, spanning MLS and the US Open Cup, show 13 wins, six draws and just one defeat, with 44 goals scored against 22 conceded. That's a busy, high-scoring sample.

Houston Dynamo: 20 completed matches; St. Louis City: 20 completed matches.

Houston Dynamo

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

29

Conceded

18

Difference

+11

St. Louis City

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

5% 1 / 20

Scored

49

Conceded

24

Difference

+25

Houston's equivalent run is steadier rather than spectacular: 10 wins, six draws and four losses, with 28 goals for and 17 against. They've been tighter at the back but less prolific going forward.

St. Louis arrive with the louder recent numbers, but some of that sample comes from cup fixtures rather than league form alone.

Comparative Team Statistics: Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City

A fixture that rarely settles into a pattern

The last ten meetings between these two have gone in pretty much every direction. St. Louis won the most recent league clash 2-1 at home back in August, while Houston has had away wins of its own in this fixture before.

Across MLS, the Open Cup and even a CONCACAF Champions League tie a couple of seasons back, neither side has dominated for long. It's been share-and-share-alike more often than not.

Level on points, different shapes

Houston sit fourth with 44 points from 27 games, St. Louis fifth with the same 44 points from 26. Houston's goal difference is tighter at plus two, while St. Louis's is healthier at plus nine, having scored and conceded more along the way.

That gap in games played means St. Louis could even move above Houston with a win here, given the extra fixture in hand.

Goals and fitness doubts on both sides

Guilherme has been Houston's main source of goals with 14 in 25 appearances and six assists, while Rafael Navarro has matched that tally for St. Louis in 26 games. Both attacks lean heavily on one key forward.

Houston Dynamo:

Best scorers:

Guilherme - 14

Best assist providers:

Guilherme - 6

Penalty cards:

A. Bouzat x 1 x 3

Felipe Andrade x 8

Injury list:

Felipe Andrade

N. Quinones

St. Louis City:

Best scorers:

Rafael Navarro - 14

Penalty cards:

C. Durkin x 1 x 10

Injury list:

P. Ault

B. McSorley

On the fitness front, Houston have Felipe Andrade carrying a thigh issue and Quinones with a lower-body concern, both listed as questionable. St. Louis have similar uncertainty with Ault and McSorley both nursing ankle knocks. None of this confirms absences, but it's worth watching closer to kickoff.