Torino vs Monza Prediction & Betting Tips

Similar patterns, same weak spots

Torino's last five in the league read: a home loss to AC Milan, a defeat at Sassuolo, a win away at Fiorentina, a home loss to Roma, then a draw at Bologna last time out. It's a stop-start sequence with more downs than ups.

Torino: 20 completed matches; Monza: 20 completed matches.

Torino

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

21

Conceded

24

Difference

-3

Monza

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

31

Difference

+7

Monza's run looks much the same shape. They lost at Inter, lost at home to Udinese, drew at Parma, lost at Lecce, then finally won at home against Sassuolo in their last outing.

Both sides picked up their only win of this stretch against the same opponent, Sassuolo, which says more about Sassuolo than either of these two.

Comparative Team Statistics: Torino vs Monza

History leans Torino's way, recent form less so

Looking back over their recent meetings, Torino have generally had the better of this fixture, with wins in 2022, 2024 and again in early 2025, alongside a handful of draws. Monza's only win among these listed meetings before this season came in a friendly, which doesn't tell us much about competitive form.

The freshest result, though, is that Coppa Italia tie last month, where Monza won at Torino's stadium. Cup games often see changed teams, so it's not a given that pattern repeats in the league.

The longer record favours Torino, but it's the most recent meeting that's arguably least useful given likely squad rotation for a cup tie.

Both sides stuck in the bottom half

Torino sit 14th with four points from five matches, having won one, drawn one and lost three, scoring five and conceding eight. Monza are just below them in 16th, also on four points from an identical win-draw-loss split, but with a shakier goal difference at 8-12.

There's barely anything separating them on paper. Both have taken one win, one draw and three defeats from their opening five games.

Goal difference is the only thing keeping Torino above Monza right now.

Varela the one standout figure

Gustavo Varela has scored four goals in his last four appearances for Monza, which makes him clearly their main source of goals right now. Ricardo Mangas and Simone Birindelli have each chipped in two assists over their last five games too, so the service isn't all coming from one player.

Monza:

Best scorers:

Gustavo Varela - 4

Best assist providers:

Ricardo Mangas - 2

S. Birindelli - 2

Penalty cards:

L. Lucchesi x 2

E. Kouadio x 2

On the discipline side, Luca Lucchesi and Emmanuel Kouadio have picked up two yellow cards apiece in their last five, nothing that stands out as unusual. There's no comparable player breakdown available for Torino here, so it's harder to say who their key men are in the same detail.

Could be a tight, scrappy one

Given how many goals both sides have shipped this season, and how neither has strung together consistent results, this doesn't look like a fixture where either team dominates for long. Torino's home advantage is real, but their own defensive numbers haven't been much better than Monza's.

If Varela stays sharp, Monza have a route to causing problems on the counter, even away from home. Equally, Torino's flashes of quality, like that win at Fiorentina, show they're capable of moments of control too.