Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction

Form lines pulling in different directions

Pogon's recent run covers friendlies and cup games as well as the league, finishing at 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses across the sample. Their Ekstraklasa form specifically has been steadier, with draws and a solid win mixed among the odd defeat.

Raków Częstochowa: 20 completed matches; Pogon Szczecin: 20 completed matches.

Raków Częstochowa

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

60% 12 / 20

Scored

33

Conceded

38

Difference

-5

Pogon Szczecin

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

22

Difference

+5

Raków's record over the same stretch is 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses, with some heavy home defeats along the way, including a 2-5 loss to Jagiellonia and a 2-3 reverse to Zaglebie Lubin at home. Their European games haven't gone much better either.

Raków's home form in particular has been shaky all season, conceding freely in front of their own fans.

Comparative Team Statistics: Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin

History doesn't match the current gap

Going back through the last 15 meetings since 2019, Raków have actually won the majority of them, including the most recent clash in March 2026, a 2-0 home win. Pogon have only come out on top three times in that stretch, with three draws in between.

That's a long run of meetings across different seasons and squads, so it isn't proof of anything guaranteed for this one. But it's a reminder that Raków have found a way to get something from this fixture even in leaner years.

The head-to-head record cuts against the current table gap, which makes this trickier to call than the standings alone suggest.

A big gap in the table

Pogon sit fifth with 15 points from eight games, built on four wins, three draws and just one defeat. Raków are down in 18th with only three points from nine, having won just once all season.

That's a 12-point swing in eight extra games played by Raków, which tells you how differently their seasons have gone so far.

On paper this points firmly towards Pogon, though league position alone doesn't guarantee a performance on the day.

Players carrying the goal threat

Jordi Sánchez has been the standout for Pogon, with eight goals in nine appearances, clearly their main source of goals this season. P. Mukairu has chipped in with assists from midfield.

Raków Częstochowa:

Best scorers:

P. Makuch - 5

M. Emreli - 3

Penalty cards:

F. Tudor x 1 x 4

Pogon Szczecin:

Best scorers:

Jordi Sánchez - 8

Best assist providers:

P. Mukairu - 2

Penalty cards:

P. Dziczek x 3

For Raków, P. Makuch and M. Emreli have both been scoring regularly despite the team's results, with five and three goals respectively in nine games. F. Tudor's card record, including a red in six matches, is also worth noting from a discipline standpoint.

Raków's issue looks more defensive and results-based than a lack of attacking threat, since their forwards are still finding the net.