Derby vs Norwich Prediction

Form snapshot

Derby's recent matches, taken across competitions, make for grim reading: five wins from twenty games and just 23 goals scored in that spread. Plenty of those games were pre-season friendlies or cup ties rather than pure league form, but the pattern of narrow losses and low-scoring games keeps repeating.

Derby: 20 completed matches; Norwich: 20 completed matches.

Derby

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

60% 12 / 20

Scored

23

Conceded

32

Difference

-9

Norwich

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

29

Difference

+3

Norwich's sample looks healthier on paper, eight wins from twenty with 32 goals for, but they've also shipped 29 at the other end. There's goals in their matches when they turn up, yet their defence has had some rough nights too, including a 4-3 loss at Middlesbrough and a 3-4 defeat away at Norwich themselves against Bolton.

Derby's struggles to score stand out more than Norwich's defensive dips.

Comparative Team Statistics: Derby vs Norwich

Head-to-head

These two have met regularly over the years and recent meetings have gone back and forth. Norwich won 2-1 at Derby last April, Derby returned the favour with a 1-0 win at home in October 2025, and the meeting before that finished 1-1.

There's no real pattern of dominance either way lately, just a fairly even split.

Where they sit

Norwich are 17th with nine points from eight games, while Derby prop up the division in 22nd on five points. Derby have won just once all season and drawn twice, with only seven goals scored in eight league matches.

That gap in both points and goals for suggests Derby's issues are more about creating chances than just bad luck.

Players to watch

Norwich's M. Touré has been their standout, with five goals in seven appearances, and A. Brooks has chipped in with assists from midfield. If Norwich are going to trouble a struggling Derby defence, those two look like the players most likely to be involved.

Derby:

Best assist providers:

B. Clark - 2

Norwich:

Best scorers:

M. Touré - 5

Best assist providers:

A. Brooks - 2

Penalty cards:

J. Córdoba x 1 x 4

Derby's B. Clark has matched Brooks for assists in his own side's matches, suggesting he's the one pulling the strings when Derby do create something. Norwich's J. Córdoba has picked up four yellow cards in eight games, which is worth keeping an eye on given how tight some of these h2h meetings have been.