Derby vs Norwich Prediction

Form guide

Norwich's overall numbers look decent on paper, with more wins than losses across their last twenty matches in all competitions. But zoom in on their recent Championship games and the picture changes: they've lost three of their last four league outings, including back-to-back home defeats to Portsmouth and Southampton either side of a win at Charlton.

What could your bet return?

1

Derby to win

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Odds3.35

Potential return

£67.00

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X

Draw

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Odds3.7

Potential return

£74.00

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2

Norwich to win

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Odds2.13

Potential return

£42.60

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Derby: 20 completed matches; Norwich: 20 completed matches.

Derby

20 matches

Win

15% 3 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

60% 12 / 20

Scored

20

Conceded

33

Difference

-13

Norwich

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

31

Difference

+1

Derby's situation is more worrying. Looking at their last ten league matches, they haven't won a single one, picking up draws here and there but losing far more often than not. Their home form in that stretch reads particularly badly, with defeats to Stoke, Birmingham, West Brom, Portsmouth and Swansea all coming at their own ground.

Derby's winless run at home is the more concerning trend heading into this one.

Comparative Team Statistics: Derby vs Norwich

Head-to-head record

These two have met regularly down the years, and recent meetings haven't followed a clear pattern. Norwich won the home fixture back in April, Derby won their home meeting the previous October, and the one before that finished level. There's no strong home or away bias to lean on from this history alone.

Where they stand

Norwich have nine points from eleven games, sitting just above Derby, who have six points from the same number of matches. Neither side is anywhere near the top of the Championship, but Norwich's slightly better goal difference backs up the idea that they've been the more productive side this season, even allowing for their recent dip.

Players to watch

Norwich's main attacking threat has been M. Touré, who has scored five goals in just seven appearances this season, a healthy return for a side that has otherwise struggled for consistency. A. Brooks has chipped in with assists from midfield. For Derby, B. Clark has been their main creative outlet in terms of assists, though the team as a whole has struggled badly to turn chances into goals.

Derby:

Best assist providers:

B. Clark - 2

Norwich:

Best scorers:

M. Touré - 5

Best assist providers:

A. Brooks - 2

Penalty cards:

J. Córdoba x 1 x 4

Norwich's J. Córdoba has picked up four yellow cards in eight matches, which is worth keeping an eye on given how often he's been booked relative to his appearances.

How this one might go

Derby's goal-scoring problem is the standout issue here. Across their last twenty matches in all competitions they've managed only twenty goals, and in their recent run of Championship games they've barely threatened at home. Norwich, even accounting for their own recent wobble, have scored more freely and have a proven source of goals in Touré.

The worry for anyone backing Norwich is that their away form hasn't been sharp either, with three defeats in their last four league matches. This has the look of a game where Norwich should have the edge in quality, but their own inconsistency means it's unlikely to be straightforward.