Qatar vs Australia Prediction

Two sides moving in different directions

Qatar have won seven, drawn six and lost seven of their last twenty matches, scoring 24 and conceding 34. That leaky record stands out, especially after a 6-0 defeat to Canada and a 3-1 loss to Bosnia & Herzegovina during the World Cup group stage. More recently, in the Gulf Cup of Nations, they found a tidier run of two wins and two draws.

Qatar: 20 completed matches; Australia: 20 completed matches.

Qatar

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

34

Difference

-10

Australia

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

29

Conceded

18

Difference

+11

Australia's record over a similar sample reads eight wins, eight draws and four losses, with 29 scored and just 18 conceded. That's a healthier balance overall, though it hasn't shown in their last two outings. They've just lost 2-4 to Brazil at home, having drawn 1-1 with the same opponents only four days earlier. Before that, in the World Cup, they beat Türkiye 2-0, lost away to the USA, and were held by both Paraguay and Egypt.

Australia's wider sample looks sturdier on paper, but neither side is arriving with a settled run of results.

Comparative Team Statistics: Qatar vs Australia

A disciplinary flag for Qatar

The only player note available concerns Almoez Ali, who picked up a red card in one of his recent appearances. That's a single data point from one match rather than confirmation he'll miss out here, particularly with this fixture still some way off.

Qatar:

Penalty cards:

Almoez Ali x 1

What kind of game this could turn into

Friendlies arranged this far out often come with rotated line-ups, so reading too much into shape or system would be a stretch. What the numbers do suggest is that Qatar have shipped goals in bigger matches this year, while Australia have generally kept things tighter at the back across a longer sample.

That said, Australia have shown they can be opened up too, conceding four to Brazil in their most recent outing. Squad notes remain thin on both sides, with only one disciplinary record logged for Qatar, so there's little to go on beyond the broader form picture.