Portsmouth vs Stoke City Prediction

Form over a longer stretch

Stoke's longer-run sample covers preseason friendlies, cup games and the back end of last season alongside this campaign, and it shows six wins, five draws and nine losses from twenty matches, with twenty-two goals scored and twenty-nine conceded. That's a mixed bag rather than a hot streak.

Portsmouth: 20 completed matches; Stoke City: 20 completed matches.

Portsmouth

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

28

Difference

-4

Stoke City

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

22

Conceded

29

Difference

-7

Portsmouth's twenty-match sample is built the same way, spanning friendlies and last season's run-in as well as the current one. They've won seven, drawn six and lost seven, scoring twenty-four and conceding twenty-eight, a record that puts them roughly level with Stoke rather than clearly behind them despite the gap in the table.

Those numbers blend different competitions and seasons, so they're a rough guide to shape rather than a precise read on current Championship form.

Comparative Team Statistics: Portsmouth vs Stoke City

A history that swings both ways

The five meetings on record stretch back to a 2014 League Cup tie and run through to this spring's Championship clash, when Stoke won 3-1 away at Portsmouth. Before that, Portsmouth beat Stoke 1-0 at home in October 2025 and 3-1 at home in January 2025, while Stoke won 6-1 at home in October 2024.

That's three home wins in the last four meetings, with the away side only breaking through once. It's a small sample and competitions have varied, but it does hint that the home side has tended to have the edge recently.

Portsmouth have the benefit of hosting this one, which fits the recent pattern of home sides doing well in this fixture.

Where they sit early on

Stoke are seventh with thirteen points from eight games, while Portsmouth sit nineteenth with eight points from seven. That's a clear gap, but it's still early enough in the season that neither position is set in stone.

Stoke's key men

The player data we have is limited to Stoke's side. Galbraith leads their scoring with three goals in eight appearances and also tops their card count with four yellows, while Bocat has chipped in two assists over the same number of games. Ingelsson has picked up one yellow from two matches, a minor note rather than anything significant.

Stoke City:

Best scorers:

E. Galbraith - 3

Best assist providers:

E. Bocat - 2

Penalty cards:

S. Ingelsson x 1 x 1

E. Galbraith x 4

There's no equivalent breakdown for Portsmouth here, so we can't compare goal threats or fitness across both squads.

What kind of game this could be

Both teams have conceded close to as many as they've scored across their longer samples, and neither looks defensively watertight right now. Stoke's away results this year have swung between big wins and heavy losses, and Portsmouth's home form has been similarly up and down.

With the table gap sizeable but the underlying form patchy for both, this doesn't look like a match with an obvious script.