PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II Prediction

Form check: PSV flying, Willem II sinking

Across their last 20 matches in all competitions, PSV have won 13, drawn 4 and lost just 3, scoring 63 goals along the way. That's a side in good scoring touch heading into most weeks.

PSV Eindhoven: 20 completed matches; Willem II: 20 completed matches.

PSV Eindhoven

20 matches

Win

65% 13 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

63

Conceded

32

Difference

+31

Willem II

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

31

Difference

-4

Willem II's equivalent sample shows 9 wins from 20, but that mixes last season's second-tier form and pre-season friendlies with this campaign's Eredivisie games. Strip it back to this season's league matches and it's two draws and five defeats from seven, with only six goals scored and twenty conceded.

Willem II's defensive numbers this season look shaky against any side that scores freely, and PSV fit that description at home.

Comparative Team Statistics: PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II

History leans PSV, but the recent games were tight

Looking back over their meetings, PSV have had some big wins in this fixture, including 6-1, 5-0 and 4-0 scorelines over the years. That's a heavily one-sided record on paper.

But the two most recent games don't fit that pattern. Last season's meeting finished 1-1, and the one before that saw Willem II win 2-0 at home. Older results aren't a reliable guide to how either side is playing now.

A big gap in the table already

PSV sit third with 16 points from seven games, having won five and lost just one. Willem II are down in 18th with only two points from the same number of matches.

That's a 14-point gap after seven rounds, which says plenty about how each side's season has gone so far.

Where the goals might come from

PSV have a couple of players in good scoring form: S. Mijnans has 4 goals in 6 matches and G. Til has 4 in 7, with R. van Bommel chipping in with assists too. That's a decent spread of attacking contribution.

PSV Eindhoven:

Best scorers:

S. Mijnans - 4

G. Til - 4

Best assist providers:

R. van Bommel - 2

Penalty cards:

R. van Bommel x 3

I. Perišić x 2

A. Obispo x 2

Willem II:

Penalty cards:

N. Tjoe-A-On x 2

There's no equivalent attacking data available for Willem II here, just a note that N. Tjoe-A-On has picked up a couple of yellow cards this season. That's not proof of anything beyond discipline, but it lines up with a side that's conceded a lot and scored little.

What this points towards

PSV have scored heavily at home in the league this season, and Willem II have shipped goals in almost every away trip they've taken. Put those two trends together and goals for the home side look like the likely theme.

Willem II's away form hasn't produced many clean sheets or big results, so there's little in their recent matches to suggest they'll make this difficult for long stretches.