Northampton vs Oldham Prediction

Recent form: goals for one, draws for the other

Looking back over each side's last 20 matches, which span league games, cup ties and a handful of friendlies, Oldham have won seven, drawn three and lost ten, scoring 28 and conceding 29. Northampton's equivalent run reads five wins, six draws and nine losses, with just 18 goals scored against 23 conceded.

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1

Northampton to win

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Draw

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2

Oldham to win

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Northampton: 20 completed matches; Oldham: 20 completed matches.

Northampton

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

18

Conceded

23

Difference

-5

Oldham

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

28

Conceded

29

Difference

-1

That paints two different pictures. Oldham's games tend to produce goals at both ends, while Northampton's matches are tighter and lower scoring, with draws cropping up far more often than losses.

Comparative Team Statistics: Northampton vs Oldham

A fairly even head-to-head

The two sides met in the FA Cup back in November 2025, with Oldham winning 3-1 at home, but that's a cup tie rather than a league pointer. Going back further, across ten meetings since 2016 spanning League One, League Two and cup football, the record is close to even between wins, losses and draws.

Given how long that history stretches and how it mixes competitions, it's not a strong guide to how this particular fixture will go.

Two sides close together near the foot of the table

Oldham currently sit 19th with 11 points from ten games, while Northampton are 22nd on 10 points from nine. There's barely anything between them on goal difference, with both sides sitting at minus one overall.

It shows neither club has found much consistency yet this season.

Players to watch

Oldham's Kavanagh has been directly involved in seven goals in eight appearances, four scored and three assisted, making him the clear focal point of their attack. Norburn has picked up four yellow cards in the same span, and Scott-Morriss has already been sent off once this season.

Northampton:

Penalty cards:

L. Evans x 1 x 1

Oldham:

Best scorers:

C. Kavanagh - 4

Best assist providers:

C. Kavanagh - 3

Penalty cards:

G. Scott-Morriss x 1

O. Norburn x 4

For Northampton, the one player note available is Evans, who has a red card and a yellow in just four matches. That's a disciplinary flag worth watching rather than any guarantee about who plays, since the list here is partial rather than a full squad picture.

How this one might play out

Given Oldham's healthier scoring record and the higher league position, they look the shade likelier to end up ahead at the final whistle. But Northampton's habit of drawing matches, visible in both their recent form and some of the head-to-head results down the years, means taking all three points away from home won't be straightforward.