Napoli vs Torino Prediction

Two different kinds of recent form

Napoli's last ten matches have been a real mixed bag. There's a Champions League win over Bodo/Glimt in there, league wins against Frosinone, Bologna and Genoa, but also defeats to Villarreal, Arsenal, Inter and Como, plus a league loss at Venezia. It's the kind of run where quality shows up in patches rather than consistently.

What could your bet return?

1

Napoli to win

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Odds1.48

Potential return

£29.60

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X

Draw

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Odds4.1

Potential return

£82.00

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2

Torino to win

Your stake£

Odds6.25

Potential return

£125.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Napoli: 20 completed matches; Torino: 20 completed matches.

Napoli

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

40

Conceded

28

Difference

+12

Torino

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

25

Conceded

26

Difference

-1

Torino's recent Serie A form reads a bit steadier. Across their last five league games they've picked up wins over Parma, Udinese and Fiorentina, a draw with Bologna, and only one defeat, away to Sassuolo. They did lose to Monza in the Coppa Italia and to AC Milan in the league before that, but the overall shape of their results has been more settled than Napoli's.

Napoli's home matches alone haven't been a guaranteed source of points this autumn, which is worth keeping in mind against a Torino side that travels reasonably well right now.

Comparative Team Statistics: Napoli vs Torino

Head-to-head has been fairly even lately

Napoli have the bigger history here, including some heavy wins by three, four and five goals in older meetings. But zoom in on the last six games between these two and it's been shared around: two wins apiece and a draw, with Torino even winning in Turin as recently as January 2024.

That recent spread suggests this fixture hasn't been the one-way traffic the overall head-to-head record might imply.

Where they stand right now

Napoli are 9th with 10 points from seven games, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Torino are 13th with 7 points from six games, having scored 7 and conceded 9. Napoli's numbers are a touch better across the board, but neither table reading points to a huge gap in current level.

With Torino having played one fewer match, the raw points difference is smaller than the table position suggests on its own.

How it could unfold

Napoli's attack has been productive enough this season, and their home form has produced some comfortable wins, but it's also produced losses, so there's no guarantee of control just because they're at home. Torino, for their part, haven't been beaten often on their travels recently and have shown they can nick points off sides above them.

Given Napoli's defensive numbers have leaked goals in both their Serie A and European matches this autumn, and Torino have found a way to score in most of their recent away games, this doesn't look like a fixture where either side can be backed with real confidence to dominate.