Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC Prediction & Betting Tips

Contrasting recent form

Houston's last 20 matches across competitions show 11 wins, six draws and just three losses, with 29 goals scored against only 15 conceded. That's a settled, tight defensive record to go with a decent scoring rate.

Houston Dynamo: 20 completed matches; Minnesota United FC: 20 completed matches.

Houston Dynamo

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

28

Conceded

17

Difference

+11

Minnesota United FC

20 matches

Win

15% 3 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

37

Difference

-5

Minnesota's equivalent sample reads very differently: three wins, seven draws and ten losses, with 34 scored but 39 conceded. They've been leaking goals almost as often as they've been scoring them, and results have gone against them far more than for them.

Houston's recent form is comfortably the stronger of the two, on results and on goals conceded.

Comparative Team Statistics: Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC

Recent head-to-head record

These two have met plenty of times down the years, and the results have swung both ways. The most recent meeting last June saw Minnesota win 3-1 as the home side, but the game before that went the other way, Houston winning 2-0 in Houston.

Going further back there's a long run of Houston victories in this fixture, though several of those came years ago under different squads. It's a fixture with history rather than a clear current trend.

Where they sit in the table

Houston are second with 44 points from 26 games, built on 13 wins and only eight losses. Minnesota sit down in 14th on 29 points from the same number of matches, with 11 losses outweighing seven wins.

Houston's goal difference of plus four (34 for, 30 against) is solid without being spectacular, but Minnesota's minus seven (39 for, 46 against) shows a team that's struggled at both ends.

Squad situations

Guilherme and K. Yeboah have both scored 14 goals in 25 appearances this season for Houston and Minnesota respectively, so both sides have a proven front-line threat. J. Pereyra has been Minnesota's main creative outlet with 10 assists, but he's listed with a muscle injury that rules him out of the fixture window.

Houston Dynamo:

Best scorers:

Guilherme - 14

Best assist providers:

Guilherme - 6

Penalty cards:

A. Bouzat x 1 x 3

Felipe Andrade x 8

Injury list:

Felipe Andrade

N. Quinones

Minnesota United FC:

Best scorers:

K. Yeboah - 14

Best assist providers:

J. Pereyra - 10

Penalty cards:

J. Díaz x 8

Injury list:

J. Rodriguez

P. Stroud

Houston have a handful of players marked questionable, including Felipe Andrade with a thigh issue and M. Saracchi with a lower-body problem, plus Marlon Arana away on international duty. Minnesota are also missing C. Harvey, A. Smir and N. Triantis to international call-ups, on top of Pereyra's absence.

Minnesota losing their top assist provider is a notable gap in an already inconsistent side.

How this one could play out

Put the form and table numbers together and Houston look the more reliable side by some distance, especially with their tighter defensive record. Minnesota have shown they can score goals, with Yeboah in good touch, but their defence has been open too often for comfort.

With Pereyra missing and several regulars away internationally, Minnesota's attack may lack its usual supply line. That doesn't guarantee anything on the pitch, but it does add to the questions around how they'll create chances here.