Fiorentina vs Juventus Prediction

Recent form tells two different stories

Looking back across their last 20 matches in all competitions, Juventus have won 11, drawn 5 and lost 4, scoring 27 and conceding just 12. That's a tidy record overall, even though the sample mixes friendlies and cup games in with league football.

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1

Fiorentina to win

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Draw

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Odds3.6

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2

Juventus to win

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Odds1.91

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Fiorentina: 20 completed matches; Juventus: 20 completed matches.

Fiorentina

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

36

Conceded

30

Difference

+6

Juventus

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

29

Conceded

18

Difference

+11

Fiorentina's equivalent run reads less convincingly. Eight wins, seven draws and five losses, with 34 scored but 27 conceded, points to a side that have had goals in games but have also been leaky at the back.

Juventus look the tighter, more rounded side across this wider sample, though it isn't pure league form.

Comparative Team Statistics: Fiorentina vs Juventus

History leans Juventus, but recent meetings have been closer

Across the 20 head-to-head matches on record stretching back to 2017, Juventus have won the clear majority, often by comfortable margins such as 3-0 and 2-0.

That long-term picture doesn't quite match the last two meetings though. Fiorentina won 2-0 away at Juventus in May, and the fixture before that finished 1-1 in Florence. The recent head-to-head record has been far tighter than the overall history suggests.

A big early gap in the table

Just five games into this Serie A season, Juventus sit seventh with 10 points, having won three, drawn one and lost one, scoring eight and conceding four.

Fiorentina are down in 17th with only four points from the same number of games, having managed just one win. That's a notable gap already, though it's still early days in the campaign.

Limited scoring threats on both sides

Fiorentina's Franco Mastantuono has three goals in five appearances this season, while Juventus's Edon Zhegrova has two from four. Both are useful markers of where early goals have come from.

Fiorentina:

Best scorers:

Franco Mastantuono - 3

Juventus:

Best scorers:

E. Zhegrova - 2

This is only partial information rather than a full squad list or fitness update, so it shouldn't be read as the complete attacking picture for either side.

Still some time before kickoff

With this match over a month away from the data here, both squads have time for results, injuries and form to shift before the teams actually line up.

Juventus's current league position and broader form give them the firmer platform right now, but Fiorentina have already shown this season that they can raise their level specifically against this opponent.