Estonia host Luxembourg in the UEFA Nations League. Estonia have been winning more often than not in their recent matches, while Luxembourg have found victories harder to come by, especially away from home.
Neither team's recent form comes from Nations League fixtures, so it's not yet clear how either side's rhythm will carry over into this one. That leaves a bit of guesswork before we even get to the game itself.
Analysis updated .
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Form heading into the clash
Estonia have won three of their last six matches, drawn two and lost just once, scoring seven and conceding five along the way. Those results came in the Baltic Cup, the FIFA Series and a couple of friendlies, so it's not a direct read on competitive Nations League form.
Estonia: 7 completed matches; Luxembourg: 7 completed matches.
Estonia
- Win
- 42.9% 3 / 7
- Draw
- 42.9% 3 / 7
- Loss
- 14.2% 1 / 7
- Scored
- 8
- Conceded
- 6
- Difference
- +2
Luxembourg
- Win
- 42.9% 3 / 7
- Draw
- 14.3% 1 / 7
- Loss
- 42.8% 3 / 7
- Scored
- 5
- Conceded
- 6
- Difference
- -1
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | Iceland | Estonia | 26.09.2026 | 1-1 |
| Baltic Cup | Estonia | Lithuania | 09.06.2026 | 1-0 |
| Baltic Cup | Estonia | Faroe Islands | 06.06.2026 | 1-0 |
| FIFA Series | Rwanda | Estonia | 30.03.2026 | 2-0 |
| FIFA Series | Kenya | Estonia | 27.03.2026 | 1-1 |
| Friendlies | Cyprus | Estonia | 18.11.2025 | 2-4 |
| Friendlies | Estonia | Andorra | 09.09.2025 | 0-0 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | Bulgaria | Luxembourg | 26.09.2026 | 1-2 |
| Friendlies | Albania | Luxembourg | 06.06.2026 | 0-1 |
| Friendlies | Luxembourg | Italy | 03.06.2026 | 0-1 |
| Friendlies | Luxembourg | Rep. Of Ireland | 10.06.2025 | 0-0 |
| Friendlies | Luxembourg | Slovenia | 06.06.2025 | 0-1 |
| Friendlies | Switzerland | Luxembourg | 25.03.2025 | 3-1 |
| Friendlies | Luxembourg | Sweden | 22.03.2025 | 1-0 |
Luxembourg's last six have been tougher going: two wins, one draw and three losses, with just three goals scored and five conceded. Every one of those games was a friendly, including narrow losses to Albania and Sweden.
Estonia's recent numbers look brighter, but neither side has been tested in an actual Nations League fixture lately.
Comparative Team Statistics: Estonia vs Luxembourg
Team news snapshot
The only player note we have is for Luxembourg's F. Bohnert, who's picked up three yellow cards in his last six appearances without seeing red. That's worth flagging as a bit of card risk, though it doesn't tell us anything definite about his involvement here.
How this one could play out
Estonia's home form has been built largely outside the Nations League, and Luxembourg's away form comes from a run of friendlies rather than competitive games. Estonia have scored more freely in their recent matches, while Luxembourg have struggled to find the net on the road.
Nations League games can play out differently to friendlies or regional tournaments, so it's best to treat these samples as background colour rather than a firm guide to how this one goes.
Squad lists and player details
Squad and player details
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Anier | Estonia | 35 | Attacker | 183 | 85 |
| R. Sappinen | Estonia | 30 | Attacker | 177 | 73 |
| M. Igonen | Estonia | 30 | Goalkeeper | 186 | 78 |
| J. Tamm | Estonia | 34 | Defender | 192 | 97 |
| K. Mets | Estonia | 33 | Defender | 191 | 79 |
| M. Kuusk | Estonia | 30 | Defender | 181 | 76 |
| M. Käit | Estonia | 28 | Midfielder | 187 | 74 |
| F. Liivak | Estonia | 30 | Midfielder | 182 | 75 |
| M. Paskotši | Estonia | 23 | Defender | 188 | 84 |
| M. Ainsalu | Estonia | 30 | Midfielder | 189 | 86 |
| M. Poom | Estonia | 27 | Midfielder | 186 | 72 |
| M. Männilaan | Estonia | 25 | Attacker | 189 | n/a |
| M. Schjønning-Larsen | Estonia | 25 | Defender | 187 | n/a |
| T. Tammik | Estonia | 24 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| M. Miller | Estonia | 29 | Midfielder | 178 | 78 |
| V. Sinyavskiy | Estonia | 29 | Defender | 180 | 72 |
| R. Peetson | Estonia | 31 | Defender | 185 | 76 |
| A. Tamm | Estonia | 25 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| J. Saliste | Estonia | 31 | Defender | 174 | 68 |
| K. Vallner | Estonia | 28 | Goalkeeper | n/a | n/a |
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sinani | Luxembourg | 29 | Attacker | 185 | 70 |
| V. Selimović | Luxembourg | 29 | Defender | 190 | 75 |
| L. Jans | Luxembourg | 34 | Defender | 175 | 72 |
| C. Martins | Luxembourg | 29 | Midfielder | 188 | 80 |
| V. Thill | Luxembourg | 26 | Midfielder | 175 | 69 |
| L. Barreiro | Luxembourg | 26 | Midfielder | 174 | 67 |
| E. Veiga | Luxembourg | 29 | Defender | 183 | 76 |
| M. Pinto | Luxembourg | 33 | Defender | 176 | 70 |
| A. Moris | Luxembourg | 36 | Goalkeeper | 186 | 75 |
| D. Carlson | Luxembourg | 28 | Defender | 186 | 80 |
| E. Mahmutović | Luxembourg | 29 | Defender | 190 | 83 |
| F. Bohnert | Luxembourg | 28 | Midfielder | 182 | 76 |
| S. Korač | Luxembourg | 24 | Defender | 188 | n/a |
| M. Martins | Luxembourg | 31 | Defender | 186 | 89 |
| S. Thill | Luxembourg | 32 | Midfielder | 178 | 70 |
| E. Muratović | Luxembourg | 29 | Attacker | 185 | 76 |
| Omar Natami | Italy | 27 | Attacker | ||
| L. Fox | Luxembourg | 26 | Goalkeeper | n/a | n/a |
| M. Olesen | Luxembourg | 25 | Midfielder | 187 | 83 |
| A. Curci | Luxembourg | 24 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
Estonia's recent numbers look tidier than Luxembourg's, but that's drawn from a mixed bag of competitions rather than the Nations League itself. There isn't enough here to back a particular outcome with any confidence.
We'd rather wait for firmer signals, or an actual market to weigh up, before leaning one way on this one.
Who will win?
