Arsenal vs Leeds Prediction, 10 Oct 2026

Arsenal host Leeds in the Premier League. Arsenal have been picking up wins regularly this season, while Leeds have stayed unbeaten in their own recent run.

The two sides have met plenty of times down the years, and the last couple of meetings have been pretty one-sided. Leeds have shown lately that they can compete without conceding much, so it's not simply a formality.

Analysis updated 25 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC.

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Recent league form

Arsenal have won four of their last five league games, beating Coventry, Aston Villa, Chelsea and Sunderland. The only blemish was a heavy loss away at Brighton, so their form has generally held up well.

What could your bet return?

Arsenal to win

Your stake£

Odds1.3

Potential return£26.00Bet Now

Draw

Your stake£

Odds5

Potential return£100.00Bet Now

Leeds to win

Your stake£

Odds9

Potential return£180.00Bet Now

Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Arsenal: 20 completed matches; Leeds: 20 completed matches.

Arsenal

20 matches

Win: 70% 14 / 20
Draw: 15% 3 / 20
Loss: 15% 3 / 20

Scored: 35
Conceded: 17
Difference: +18

Leeds

20 matches

Win: 50% 10 / 20
Draw: 30% 6 / 20
Loss: 20% 4 / 20

Scored: 36
Conceded: 23
Difference: +13

Arsenal
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Premier League	Brighton	Arsenal	19.09.2026	3-0
League Cup	Ipswich	Arsenal	15.09.2026	2-4
Premier League	Sunderland	Arsenal	12.09.2026	0-2
UEFA Champions League	Napoli	Arsenal	09.09.2026	0-1
Premier League	Arsenal	Chelsea	06.09.2026	2-1
Premier League	Aston Villa	Arsenal	31.08.2026	0-1
Premier League	Arsenal	Coventry	21.08.2026	3-0
Community Shield	Arsenal	Manchester City	16.08.2026	3-0
Friendlies Clubs	Arsenal	Como	12.08.2026	1-1
Emirates Cup	Arsenal	Borussia Dortmund	09.08.2026	2-3

Leeds
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Premier League	Leeds	Crystal Palace	20.09.2026	0-0
Premier League	Leeds	Newcastle	14.09.2026	4-1
League Cup	Chelsea	Leeds	09.09.2026	6-3
Premier League	Brighton	Leeds	05.09.2026	1-1
Premier League	Leeds	Brentford	30.08.2026	1-1
League Cup	Nottingham Forest	Leeds	25.08.2026	0-2
Premier League	Nottingham Forest	Leeds	22.08.2026	0-1
Friendlies Clubs	Leeds	FC Augsburg	15.08.2026	4-0
Friendlies Clubs	Manchester United	Leeds	12.08.2026	1-1
Friendlies Clubs	Leeds	RB Leipzig	08.08.2026	2-0

Leeds haven't lost in their last five league matches either. Two wins and three draws include a big 4-1 win over Newcastle and a goalless draw away at Crystal Palace, suggesting they can score goals but also dig in defensively.

Both sides arrive with some momentum, though Arsenal's win rate is clearly higher over this stretch.

Comparative Team Statistics: Arsenal vs Leeds

Arsenal vs Leeds statistics: team strength, attack, defence and head-to-head comparison.

Head-to-head history

The last two meetings between these clubs went heavily Arsenal's way, a 5-0 home win and a 4-0 away win in January. Further back the record is more mixed, with some tight one-goal games and a scoreless draw mixed in among Arsenal's wins.

Head 2 Head
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Premier League	Leeds	Arsenal	31.01.2026	0-4
Premier League	Arsenal	Leeds	23.08.2025	5-0
Premier League	Arsenal	Leeds	01.04.2023	4-1
Premier League	Leeds	Arsenal	16.10.2022	0-1
Premier League	Arsenal	Leeds	08.05.2022	2-1
Premier League	Leeds	Arsenal	18.12.2021	1-4
League Cup	Arsenal	Leeds	26.10.2021	2-0
Premier League	Arsenal	Leeds	14.02.2021	4-2
Premier League	Leeds	Arsenal	22.11.2020	0-0
FA Cup	Arsenal	Leeds	06.01.2020	1-0

Recent history clearly favours Arsenal, though it's worth remembering these are different Leeds squads across the years.

Where they stand

Based on their last five league matches, Arsenal sit second with 12 points, while Leeds are fifth with 9. Arsenal have won four and lost just once in that spell, Leeds have two wins and three draws without a defeat.

№	Team	Played	Win	Draw	Loss	GF/GA	Points
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13/5	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8/4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16/5	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10/4	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7/3	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7/4	9

Arsenal vs Leeds: England Premier League match preview with team badges and kick-off details.

Players to watch

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been Leeds' most productive forward lately, with three goals in five appearances, though he's also picked up three yellow cards in that time. Bukayo Saka has matched that scoring return for Arsenal, with Declan Rice and Riccardo Calafiori both chipping in two assists apiece.

Arsenal:

Best scorers:

B. Saka - 3

Best assist providers:

D. Rice - 2

R. Calafiori - 2

Penalty cards:

C. Tzolis

x 2

Leeds:

Best scorers:

D. Calvert-Lewin - 3

Penalty cards:

D. Calvert-Lewin red card

x 3

J. Bogle

x 2

Calvert-Lewin's card count is one to keep an eye on given how involved he's been.

Match odds and squad lists

MATCH RESULT (1x2)

W1: 1.3

Х: 5

W2: 9

Handicap

Arsenal

Leeds

Handicap (-3.75): 8.50

Handicap (-3.75): 1.01

Handicap (-3.5): 6.80

Handicap (-3.5): 1.10

Handicap (-3.25): 6.40

Handicap (-3.25): 1.12

Handicap (-3): 5.90

Handicap (-3): 1.13

Handicap (-2.75): 4.15

Handicap (-2.75): 1.22

Handicap (-2.5): 3.45

Handicap (-2.5): 1.30

Handicap (-2.25): 3.10

Handicap (-2.25): 1.35

Handicap (-2): 2.68

Handicap (-2): 1.45

Handicap (-1.75): 2.25

Handicap (-1.75): 1.62

Handicap (-1.5): 2.00

Handicap (-1.5): 1.85

Handicap (-1.25): 1.72

Handicap (-1.25): 2.08

Handicap (-1): 1.50

Handicap (-1): 2.50

Handicap (-0.75): 1.38

Handicap (-0.75): 3.00

Handicap (-0.5): 1.32

Handicap (-0.5): 3.30

Handicap (-0.25): 1.21

Handicap (-0.25): 4.25

Handicap (0): 1.10

Handicap (0): 6.80

Total

Over

Under

Over (0.5): 1.04

Under (0.5): 13.00

Over (1): 1.01

Under (1): 10.50

Over (1.25): 1.09

Under (1.25): 5.70

Over (1.5): 1.22

Under (1.5): 4.33

Over (1.75): 1.24

Under (1.75): 3.64

Over (2): 1.31

Under (2): 3.20

Over (2.25): 1.51

Under (2.25): 2.45

Over (2.5): 1.73

Under (2.5): 2.10

Over (2.75): 1.88

Under (2.75): 1.86

Over (3): 2.17

Under (3): 1.63

Over (3.25): 2.46

Under (3.25): 1.48

Over (3.5): 2.75

Under (3.5): 1.44

Over (3.75): 3.28

Under (3.75): 1.27

Over (4): 4.30

Under (4): 1.15

Over (4.25): 4.65

Under (4.25): 1.12

Over (4.5): 5.00

Under (4.5): 1.17

Over (4.75): 6.40

Under (4.75): 1.05

Over (5): 9.20

Under (5.5): 1.06

Over (5.5): 10.00

Under (6.5): 1.01

Over (6.5): 21.00

Over (7.5): 41.00

More odds

Squad and player details

Arsenal
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
K. Havertz	Germany	27	Attacker	193	83
B. Saka	England	25	Attacker	178	72
Kepa	Spain	32	Goalkeeper	189	84
D. Rice	England	27	Midfielder	188	84
Bruno Guimarães	Brazil	28	Midfielder	182	74
V. Gyökeres	Sweden	28	Forward	189	90
E. Konsa	England	28	Defender	183	73
David Raya	Spain	31	Goalkeeper	183	80
E. Eze	England	28	Midfielder	178	73
B. White	England	28	Defender	186	76
I. Meslier	France	26	Goalkeeper	197	74
Gabriel Magalhães	Brazil	28	Defender	190	78
M. Ødegaard	Norway	27	Midfielder	178	68
J. Timber	Netherlands	25	Defender	179	79
Mikel Merino	Spain	30	Midfielder	189	83
Martín Zubimendi	Spain	27	Midfielder	181	74
P. Hincapié	Ecuador	24	Defender	184	77
N. Madueke	England	24	Midfielder	182	75
R. Calafiori	Italy	24	Defender	188	86
C. Tzolis	Greece	24	Midfielder	179	70

Leeds
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
J. Bijol	Slovenia	27	Defender	190	85
E. Ampadu	Wales	26	Midfielder	182	78
N. Elvedi	Switzerland	30	Defender	189	84
M. Zetterer	Germany	31	Goalkeeper	187	79
D. Calvert-Lewin	England	29	Attacker	187	71
S. Longstaff	England	28	Attacker	180	65
J. Bogle	England	26	Defender	178	69
H. Wilson	Wales	29	Attacker	173	63
J. Rodon	Wales	28	Defender	193	88
D. James	Wales	28	Midfielder	171	63
L. Nmecha	Germany	27	Attacker	185	80
J. Justin	England	28	Midfielder	183	80
A. Cairns	England	33	Goalkeeper	183	72
A. Tanaka	Japan	28	Midfielder	180	75
G. Gudmundsson	Sweden	27	Defender	180	74
N. Okafor	Switzerland	26	Attacker	185	85
B. Aaronson	USA	25	Midfielder	177	68
Lucas Perri	Brazil	28	Goalkeeper	197	98
I. Gruev	Bulgaria	26	Midfielder	185	72
W. Gnonto	Italy	22	Attacker	172	65

Arsenal look the stronger side across recent form, head-to-head history and current standing, and doing it at home should help further. Backing them to win by more than a single goal fits with how the last couple of meetings have gone.

Leeds' recent resilience is the counterpoint. They haven't lost in five and know how to keep games tight, so there's a real chance this one stays closer than that handicap line suggests.