Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC Prediction

Form across all competitions

Connah's Quay's last 20 matches read 12 wins, three draws and five losses, with 39 goals scored and just 16 conceded. That defensive record stands out, even though the sample mixes Welsh Cup ties, a European run and pre-season friendlies in with league games.

Caernarfon Town: 20 completed matches; GAP Connah S Quay FC: 20 completed matches.

Caernarfon Town

20 matches

Win

65% 13 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

50

Conceded

28

Difference

+22

GAP Connah S Quay FC

20 matches

Win

65% 13 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

40

Conceded

14

Difference

+26

Caernarfon have actually won more of their last 20 outings - 13 in total - but they've conceded 27 goals along the way, well up on Connah's Quay's total. Their most recent game was a 1-3 Welsh Cup defeat away at Flint Town, while Connah's Quay followed a routine Welsh Cup win over Porthmadog with a league loss at Briton Ferry.

Connah's Quay look tighter at the back, but neither side has been short of goals this season.

Comparative Team Statistics: Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC

A rivalry that rarely settles early

There's a long history between these two clubs, and it includes some lopsided scorelines in both directions - Connah's Quay won 6-1 and 4-1 back in 2023, while Caernarfon have had big results of their own over the years.

More recently, though, things have tightened up considerably. Of the last five meetings, three finished level and the other two were decided by a single goal, including Caernarfon's 2-1 win in August 2026.

Recent meetings suggest this fixture can go either way regardless of league position.

Where they sit in the table

Connah's Quay currently sit second with 31 points from 13 games, while Caernarfon are fourth on 26 points from the same number of matches. That's a five-point gap, but it's not a huge one this early in the season.

What to expect

Put the table position and the head-to-head together and this looks closer than Connah's Quay's standing alone might suggest. They're the tidier side defensively, but Caernarfon have already shown this year they can beat them, even away from home.

With both sides scoring goals regularly and recent meetings tending to be tight affairs, this has the feel of a match that could turn on small margins rather than season-long form.