Bermuda vs St. Lucia Prediction

Bermuda's defence keeps leaking, St. Lucia find some rhythm

Bermuda's recent record makes grim reading. Across their last 18 matches they've won just twice, drawn twice and lost the rest, shipping 56 goals along the way. Heavy defeats to Curaçao, Jamaica and Honduras show a side that's been breaking down regularly at the back.

Bermuda: 18 completed matches; St. Lucia: 11 completed matches.

Bermuda

18 matches

Win

11.1% 2 / 18

Draw

11.1% 2 / 18

Loss

77.8% 14 / 18

Scored

21

Conceded

56

Difference

-35

St. Lucia

11 matches

Win

36.4% 4 / 11

Draw

9.1% 1 / 11

Loss

54.5% 6 / 11

Scored

16

Conceded

25

Difference

-9

St. Lucia haven't been perfect either, but their form has picked up lately. They've won three of their last four games, including a 5-2 win away at Bermuda, and have been scoring freely in this Nations League campaign.

St. Lucia go into this with more rhythm than their hosts.

Comparative Team Statistics: Bermuda vs St. Lucia

The one meeting we have tells its own story

There's only one recorded meeting between these two sides, and it came just last month. St. Lucia won 5-2 away at Bermuda in the Nations League, scoring freely against a defence that's struggled all year.

It's a small sample, and a single result doesn't guarantee a repeat, but it lines up with the wider pattern in both teams' form.

Goals look the most likely theme

Both sides have been involved in games with goals at both ends recently. Bermuda have shipped multiple goals in several matches, while St. Lucia have scored goals for fun in the build-up to this fixture.

If that pattern continues, this has the look of a match where goals flow rather than a tight, cagey affair.