Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba Prediction

How both teams have been playing

Antigua and Barbuda's record over their last eight matches reads one win, two draws and five losses, with seven goals scored and ten conceded. There was a big 5-0 home win over Anguilla in there, but it sits alongside defeats to Guyana, Honduras and Cuba, so the form is patchy rather than settled.

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1

Antigua and Barbuda to win

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Draw

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2

Aruba to win

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Odds3

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Antigua and Barbuda: 9 completed matches; Aruba: 13 completed matches.

Antigua and Barbuda

9 matches

Win

22.2% 2 / 9

Draw

22.2% 2 / 9

Loss

55.6% 5 / 9

Scored

10

Conceded

10

Difference

0

Aruba

13 matches

Win

53.8% 7 / 13

Draw

23.1% 3 / 13

Loss

23.1% 3 / 13

Scored

22

Conceded

19

Difference

+3

Aruba have the better overall numbers across their last twelve outings: six wins, three draws and three losses, with 19 goals for and 17 against. That includes some big away wins against lower-ranked sides like Liechtenstein and Macau, but also heavy defeats to Haiti and Curaçao, so it's a similarly uneven picture once you look past the headline tally.

Neither team is arriving with real momentum, even though Aruba's win-loss ratio looks stronger on paper.

Comparative Team Statistics: Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba

A recent and tight rivalry

These two were on the pitch together as recently as late September, when Aruba won 1-0 in the Nations League. Before that, back in November 2025, they played out a 0-0 draw. Go back further and the results have swung both ways, including a 2-3 Antigua win back in 2019 and a narrow Antigua win in the Caribbean Cup in 2016.

There's no clear pattern of one side dominating this fixture historically. The most recent form, though, does lean slightly towards Aruba, who have won the last meeting and avoided defeat in the one before that.

Players to watch

D. Pereira stands out for Antigua and Barbuda, having scored and set up a goal across their last two matches. That's a small sample, but it's the clearest individual contribution we have for either side right now.

Antigua and Barbuda:

Best scorers:

D. Pereira - 1

Best assist providers:

D. Pereira - 1

What this suggests for Tuesday

Given how close the last two meetings have been, a 1-0 and a 0-0, this doesn't look like a fixture where either side regularly runs away with it. Add in Antigua's inconsistent home form and Aruba's up-and-down away record, and it's hard to see this being a one-sided affair.