Sunderland vs Brighton Prediction, 10 Oct 2026

Sunderland host Brighton in the Premier League. Brighton have made a bright start back among the big clubs, while Sunderland are still finding their feet after coming up.

The last two meetings between these two were tight, low-scoring affairs, even though the gap between them looks wider now. That contrast is worth digging into before deciding what it means for this one.

Analysis updated 25 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC.

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Form: Brighton flying, Sunderland still adjusting

Brighton sit third after five Premier League games, with three wins, a draw and just one defeat. They've scored sixteen and conceded only five, and their longer run of results across competitions backs that up, with thirteen wins from twenty outings.

What could your bet return?

Sunderland to win

Your stake£

Odds2.75

Potential return£55.00Bet Now

Draw

Your stake£

Odds3.3

Potential return£66.00Bet Now

Brighton to win

Your stake£

Odds2.5

Potential return£50.00Bet Now

Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Sunderland: 20 completed matches; Brighton: 20 completed matches.

Sunderland

20 matches

Win: 50% 10 / 20
Draw: 15% 3 / 20
Loss: 35% 7 / 20

Scored: 30
Conceded: 29
Difference: +1

Brighton

20 matches

Win: 65% 13 / 20
Draw: 15% 3 / 20
Loss: 20% 4 / 20

Scored: 45
Conceded: 20
Difference: +25

Sunderland
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Premier League	Manchester City	Sunderland	20.09.2026	5-3
UEFA Europa League	Sunderland	AZ Alkmaar	16.09.2026	1-0
Premier League	Sunderland	Arsenal	12.09.2026	0-2
League Cup	Sunderland	Hull City	08.09.2026	1-0
Premier League	Brentford	Sunderland	05.09.2026	1-1
Premier League	Sunderland	Fulham	30.08.2026	1-0
Premier League	Ipswich	Sunderland	22.08.2026	2-1
Friendlies Clubs	Sunderland	Rennes	15.08.2026	2-1
Friendlies Clubs	Lens	Sunderland	08.08.2026	0-2
Premier League - Summer Series	Wrexham	Sunderland	02.08.2026	0-1

Brighton
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Premier League	Brighton	Arsenal	19.09.2026	3-0
League Cup	Manchester United	Brighton	16.09.2026	2-3
Premier League	Coventry	Brighton	13.09.2026	0-5
Premier League	Brighton	Leeds	05.09.2026	1-1
Premier League	Chelsea	Brighton	30.08.2026	4-3
UEFA Europa Conference League	Brighton	Tromso	27.08.2026	4-0
Premier League	Brighton	Aston Villa	23.08.2026	4-0
UEFA Europa Conference League	Tromso	Brighton	20.08.2026	0-0
Friendlies Clubs	Brighton	Bologna	15.08.2026	1-0
Friendlies Clubs	Brighton	AS Roma	08.08.2026	3-0

Sunderland's return to the top flight has been rockier. One win in five league games has left them fourteenth, and they've already shipped ten goals. Wins over Fulham and Hull show they can grind results out, but the heavier losses to Ipswich and Manchester City point to defensive problems against decent sides.

Comparative Team Statistics: Sunderland vs Brighton

Sunderland vs Brighton statistics: team strength, attack, defence and head-to-head comparison.

Head-to-head: Brighton haven't lost to Sunderland lately

Their two Premier League meetings last season both went Brighton's way in terms of not conceding. Brighton won 1-0 away at Sunderland in March and drew 0-0 at home in December, keeping a clean sheet in both. A League Cup tie from 2011 is on record too, but that's too old to tell us anything useful now.

Head 2 Head
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Premier League	Sunderland	Brighton	14.03.2026	0-1
Premier League	Brighton	Sunderland	20.12.2025	0-0
League Cup	Brighton	Sunderland	23.08.2011	1-0

It's a small sample, but Brighton haven't let Sunderland score in either of their recent encounters.

Brighton's recent head-to-head record against this opponent lines up with their broader form gap this season.

League table: a clear early gap

Five games in, Brighton have ten points and a goal difference of plus eleven. Sunderland have four points and a goal difference of minus four. It's still early days for a full season picture, but the early numbers are stark.

№	Team	Played	Win	Draw	Loss	GF/GA	Points
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8/4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16/5	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10/4	9

13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4/5	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6/10	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6/11	4

Sunderland vs Brighton: England Premier League match preview with team badges and kick-off details.

Key men to watch

Pascal Groß has been Brighton's standout, with three goals and three assists in his last five matches, and Kostoulas and Yalcouyé have chipped in too. For Sunderland, Brobbey is the main outlet with three goals in five.

Sunderland:

Best scorers:

B. Brobbey - 3

Penalty cards:

Reinildo

x 1

Brighton:

Best scorers:

P. Groß - 3

C. Kostoulas - 2

M. Yalcouyé - 2

Best assist providers:

P. Groß - 3

M. De Cuyper - 2

D. Gómez - 2

Penalty cards:

M. De Cuyper red card

x 2

De Cuyper has already picked up two yellow cards in Brighton's last five games, which is worth flagging even without a confirmed suspension risk.

Match odds and squad lists

MATCH RESULT (1x2)

W1: 2.75

Х: 3.3

W2: 2.5

Handicap

Sunderland

Brighton

Handicap (-2.5): 11.00

Handicap (-2.5): 1.02

Handicap (-2): 11.50

Handicap (-2): 1.01

Handicap (-1.75): 7.40

Handicap (-1.75): 1.04

Handicap (-1.5): 5.75

Handicap (-1.5): 1.14

Handicap (-1.25): 5.25

Handicap (-1.25): 1.16

Handicap (-1): 4.50

Handicap (-1): 1.19

Handicap (-0.75): 3.30

Handicap (-0.75): 1.32

Handicap (-0.5): 2.68

Handicap (-0.5): 1.45

Handicap (-0.25): 2.35

Handicap (-0.25): 1.58

Handicap (0): 2.02

Handicap (0): 1.82

Handicap (0.25): 1.70

Handicap (0.25): 2.10

Handicap (0.5): 1.52

Handicap (0.5): 2.42

Handicap (0.75): 1.38

Handicap (0.75): 3.00

Handicap (1): 1.23

Handicap (1): 4.00

Handicap (1.25): 1.20

Handicap (1.25): 4.40

Handicap (1.5): 1.17

Handicap (1.5): 5.00

Handicap (1.75): 1.11

Handicap (1.75): 6.60

Handicap (2.5): 1.03

Handicap (2): 9.30

Handicap (2.5): 10.00

Total

Over

Under

Over (0.5): 1.05

Under (0.5): 11.00

Over (0.75): 1.01

Under (0.75): 8.70

Over (1): 1.02

Under (1): 8.10

Over (1.25): 1.14

Under (1.25): 4.70

Over (1.5): 1.28

Under (1.5): 3.75

Over (1.75): 1.32

Under (1.75): 3.10

Over (2): 1.41

Under (2): 2.73

Over (2.25): 1.64

Under (2.25): 2.17

Over (2.5): 1.91

Under (2.5): 1.91

Over (2.75): 2.09

Under (2.75): 1.69

Over (3): 2.50

Under (3): 1.48

Over (3.25): 2.80

Under (3.25): 1.38

Over (3.5): 3.40

Under (3.5): 1.33

Over (3.75): 3.74

Under (3.75): 1.21

Over (4): 5.05

Under (4): 1.11

Over (4.25): 5.35

Under (4.25): 1.09

Over (4.5): 6.00

Under (4.5): 1.12

Over (5): 9.90

Under (5): 1.02

Over (5.5): 13.00

Under (5.5): 1.04

Over (6.5): 26.00

Under (6.5): 1.01

Over (7.5): 51.00

More odds

Squad and player details

Sunderland
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
T. Meunier	Belgium	35	Defender	190	78
N. Mukiele	France	28	Defender	187	84
G. Xhaka	Switzerland	34	Midfielder	186	80
O. Alderete	Paraguay	29	Defender	188	77
S. Moore	England	36	Goalkeeper	191	83
A. Browne	Republic of Ireland	31	Midfielder	179	74
L. O'Nien	England	31	Defender	174	74
E. Le Fée	France	26	Midfielder	170	63
Reinildo	Mozambique	32	Defender	183	73
K. Danso	Austria	28	Defender	190	85
B. Brobbey	Netherlands	24	Attacker	180	78
D. Ballard	Northern Ireland	27	Defender	187	85
W. Isidor	France	26	Attacker	186	79
T. Hume	Northern Ireland	24	Defender	180	75
R. Roefs	Netherlands	23	Goalkeeper	193	72
M. Ellborg	Sweden	23	Goalkeeper	n/a	n/a
R. Mundle	England	23	Attacker	180	61
N. Angulo	Ecuador	23	Attacker	184	65
H. Diarra	France	22	Midfielder	179	74
C. Talbi	Morocco	21	Midfielder	175	65

Brighton
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
F. Kadıoğlu	Türkiye	26	Defender	174	68
M. Svoboda	Austria	27	Defender	195	86
J. Steele	England	36	Goalkeeper	188	79
L. Dunk	England	34	Defender	192	88
P. Groß	Germany	35	Midfielder	181	78
M. O'Riley	Denmark	25	Midfielder	187	77
O. Boscagli	France	28	Defender	181	68
P. Struijk	Netherlands	27	Defender	190	79
G. Rutter	France	24	Attacker	182	83
M. Wieffer	Netherlands	26	Defender	188	78
B. Verbruggen	Netherlands	24	Goalkeeper	193	66
M. De Cuyper	Belgium	25	Defender	182	72
T. McGill	Canada	26	Goalkeeper	185	80
Costinha	Portugal	26	Defender	181	76
Y. Ayari	Sweden	22	Midfielder	172	69
J. Hadjam	Algeria	23	Midfielder	185	82
D. Gómez	Paraguay	23	Midfielder	183	77
I. Osman	Ghana	21	Midfielder	177	64
J. Hinshelwood	England	21	Midfielder	181	76
A. Cozier-Duberry	England	21	Midfielder	170 cm	57 kg

Put together, the table gap, the recent head-to-head record and Sunderland's shaky start at home all point the same way. Brighton look the stronger side on the evidence available, and recent history between these two backs that up rather than complicating it.

A straight win for Brighton feels like the fair read here, even allowing for the small sample sizes involved this early in the season.