Albert Quévy-Mons vs Charleroi Prediction

Two very different form pictures

Charleroi's recent sample covers Jupiler Pro League fixtures mixed with a handful of pre-season friendlies, and the underlying numbers are healthy: 11 wins from 20, with 34 goals scored against 23 conceded. Their last several league outings before this cup tie brought plenty of wins, including away trips where they scored freely.

Albert Quévy-Mons: 20 completed matches; Charleroi: 20 completed matches.

Albert Quévy-Mons

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

39

Conceded

20

Difference

+19

Charleroi

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

34

Conceded

21

Difference

+13

Albert Quévy-Mons's record over the same length of sample also reads well on the surface - 9 wins, 7 draws, only 4 losses, and more goals scored than conceded. But the two most recent matches buck that trend: a 4-0 defeat in the Cup and a 2-5 loss in the league, both with plenty of goals shipped.

Albert Quévy-Mons's overall numbers look solid, but the last couple of results suggest a side that's currently leaking goals.

Barely any shared history

These two have only met once in the data available, a friendly back in June 2024 that Charleroi won 3-0 away from home. That's a single non-competitive fixture from over two years ago, so it tells us very little about how this cup tie might unfold.

A disciplinary flag for Charleroi

The only player note we have is for Charleroi's Y. Titraoui, who's picked up a red card and two yellows across just five matches. That's a fairly high card rate in a short span, though it doesn't tell us whether he's available or in the squad for this particular tie.

Charleroi:

Penalty cards:

Y. Titraoui x 1 x 2

Cup tie, clear gap in level

On the numbers alone, Charleroi look the stronger side by some distance, playing at a higher level and showing better recent goal output in competitive football. Albert Quévy-Mons's home form has generally been reasonable, but their last two results have gone the wrong way just as this cup tie approaches.

Cup football can throw up surprises, and playing at their own ground gives the home side something to work with. Even so, nothing in the evidence here points to Albert Quévy-Mons being spared a difficult afternoon against opposition operating several levels higher.