Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction & Betting Tips

Longer-term form, treated with care

Looking further back, both sides have a 20-match sample that spans different competitions and even different seasons. Oddly, Paderborn's overall record in that stretch reads better than Bremen's, with more wins and fewer losses across the sample.

What could your bet return?

1

Werder Bremen to win

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Odds1.53

Potential return

£30.60

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X

Draw

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Odds4.2

Potential return

£84.00

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2

SC Paderborn 07 to win

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Odds5.5

Potential return

£110.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Werder Bremen: 20 completed matches; SC Paderborn 07: 20 completed matches.

Werder Bremen

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

35

Conceded

28

Difference

+7

SC Paderborn 07

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

37

Conceded

30

Difference

+7

That doesn't mean much for this specific fixture, though. The mix of cup games, friendlies and league matches from different years makes it a poor guide to how either side is playing right now.

The current league table is a far more useful guide than the longer mixed sample.

Comparative Team Statistics: Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07

A history that swings both ways

Their recent head-to-head record is all over the place. The most recent meeting, a summer friendly, ended 2-2. Before that there's a Pokal defeat for Bremen, a Pokal draw, and league results going back years that have gone in both directions.

None of that really tells us much about form heading into this one. It's an old and mixed set of results rather than anything pointing clearly one way.

No head-to-head edge worth leaning on here.

Where they stand after four games

It's still early days, but the table already shows a gap. Werder Bremen sit eighth with seven points from four matches, having won two and lost one. Paderborn are down in twelfth with just four points, having won only once.

Four games is a small sample, so nobody should treat this as settled. Even so, Bremen have clearly started the campaign in better shape.

Bremen's points tally gives them a real head start, however early it is.

Bremen's goals are coming from a couple of players

Nils Füllkrug has three goals in four league games so far, and Marvin Grüll has chipped in with two goals and three assists in the same span. Chuky San José has also added a couple of assists.

Werder Bremen:

Best scorers:

N. Füllkrug - 3

M. Grüll - 2

Best assist providers:

M. Grüll - 3

Chuky San José - 2

There's no comparable player data for Paderborn here, so we can't say much about where their threat is coming from. What we do know is that Bremen's early output looks fairly concentrated in a small group.

If Bremen's key attackers are firing, that early points total makes more sense.

Putting it together

Bremen go into this with a healthier league position, goals coming from recognisable players, and home advantage. Paderborn arrive having won just once in four and sitting well below them in the table.

The friendly draw between them in August is worth noting, but it came outside competitive league conditions and shouldn't carry much weight against the current standings picture.