Uganda vs Libya Prediction & Betting Tips

Last updated 28 Sep 2026
Uganda
Uganda
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers
29.09.2026    17:00
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Libya
Libya

Uganda host Libya in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers. Uganda have generally been the busier, more productive side across their recent matches, while Libya have found things a bit more stop-start.

The two countries have barely played each other down the years, so there isn't a rivalry to lean on here. That leaves the current form and the qualifying table doing most of the talking before we get into how the game might actually play out.

Analysis updated .

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How Each Side Has Been Playing

Uganda's sample covers a wide stretch, taking in Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers, the tournament itself and a string of friendlies. There are some big away wins in there, including a 4-0 at Morocco and a 3-0 at Cameroon, but also heavier defeats like the 0-2 at home to South Africa and a 1-3 loss to Nigeria. It's a mixed bag rather than a settled run of form.

Uganda: 16 completed matches; Libya: 9 completed matches.

Uganda

16 matches
Win
43.8% 7 / 16
Draw
18.8% 3 / 16
Loss
37.4% 6 / 16
Scored
18
Conceded
24
Difference
-6

Libya

9 matches
Win
22.2% 2 / 9
Draw
55.6% 5 / 9
Loss
22.2% 2 / 9
Scored
6
Conceded
6
Difference
0
Uganda
League Home Away Date Score
Africa Cup of Nations Uganda Nigeria 30.12.2025 1-3
Africa Cup of Nations Uganda Tanzania 27.12.2025 1-1
Africa Cup of Nations Tunisia Uganda 23.12.2025 3-1
Friendlies Morocco Uganda 18.11.2025 4-0
Friendlies Uganda Chad 14.11.2025 2-1
Friendlies Uganda Senegal 24.07.2025 2-1
Friendlies Senegal Uganda 24.07.2025 1-2
Friendlies Tanzania Uganda 22.07.2025 1-0
Friendlies Uganda Gambia 09.06.2025 1-1
Friendlies Cameroon Uganda 06.06.2025 3-0
Load more
Libya
League Home Away Date Score
Friendlies Liberia Libya 31.03.2026 2-2
Friendlies Libya Niger 27.03.2026 0-0
Arab Cup Palestine Libya 25.11.2025 0-0
Friendlies Libya Mauritania 15.11.2025 1-0
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Libya Benin 18.11.2024 0-0
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Rwanda Libya 14.11.2024 0-1
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Nigeria Libya 11.10.2024 1-0
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Benin Libya 10.09.2024 2-1
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Libya Rwanda 04.09.2024 1-1
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Libya's matches lean more towards Arab Cup and friendly fixtures, and the pattern is one of tight, low-scoring games. Plenty of draws, not many goals either way, and only a couple of wins in the sample. It points to a side that's hard to break down but also short on cutting edge.

Uganda have shown more firepower in patches, but neither side has been consistently dominant over this period.

Comparative Team Statistics: Uganda vs Libya

Uganda vs Libya statistics: team strength, attack, defence and head-to-head comparison.

Not Much History to Go On

The only recorded meeting between these two is a goalless friendly from 2022. That's a single data point from a different context years ago, so it doesn't tell us much about how this qualifier will unfold.

Head 2 Head
League Home Away Date Score
Friendlies Libya Uganda 21.09.2022 0-0

Where They Stand in the Group

Uganda sit second with ten points from five games, while Libya are fourth with five points from six. Uganda have won three of their matches and lost just one, whereas Libya have drawn twice as often as they've won.

№ Team Played Win Draw Loss GF/GA Points
Group K
1 South Africa 5 3 2 0 13/5 11
2 Uganda 5 3 1 1 7/5 10
3 Congo 5 1 1 3 4/11 4
4 South Sudan 5 1 0 4 6/9 3
Group D
1 Nigeria 6 3 2 1 9/3 11
2 Benin 6 2 2 2 7/7 8
3 Rwanda 6 2 2 2 5/7 8
4 Libya 6 1 2 3 3/7 5

That gap in points suggests Uganda have generally been getting more out of their qualifying campaign so far, even if the underlying form sample is patchy.

Uganda's position in the group looks stronger on paper than Libya's right now.

Uganda vs Libya: Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers match preview with team badges and kick-off details.

How This One Might Play Out

Given Libya's tendency toward tight, low-scoring games, and Uganda's mix of big wins and occasional collapses, this has the look of a fixture that could go either way in terms of goals. If Libya sit in and defend as they have in recent matches, Uganda may need patience to break them down.

Equally, Uganda's home matches in this sample haven't always been comfortable, with some outings featuring goals at both ends. That inconsistency makes it hard to assume a straightforward home performance.

Key player statistics: Uganda vs Libya

Uganda:
Best scorers:
R. Mato - 1
Best assist providers:
N. Asiimwe - 1
Squad lists and player details

Squad and player details

Uganda
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
U. Ikpeazu Uganda 31 Forward 190 78
Libya
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
Al Musrati Libya 30 Midfielder 189 80

Uganda look the stronger side in the group table, and their away form has flashes of real quality. But the same sample shows they can be got at, and Libya's disciplined, low-scoring habits could make this a scrappier contest than the points gap suggests.

With no market to assess and the evidence pointing in different directions depending on which angle you look at, this is one to watch rather than back with any confidence.

Who will win?


Uganda (0%)
Draw (0%)
Libya (0%)
Last updated: September 2026
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