Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce Prediction

Tychy look sturdy, Pogoń look shaky

Over their last 20 matches across various competitions, Tychy 71 have won 10, drawn 8 and lost just 2, shipping only 16 goals in that time. That's a tidy defensive record by any measure.

Tychy 71: 20 completed matches; Pogoń Siedlce: 20 completed matches.

Tychy 71

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

5% 1 / 20

Scored

29

Conceded

15

Difference

+14

Pogoń Siedlce

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

22

Conceded

34

Difference

-12

Pogoń Siedlce's equivalent sample reads very differently: 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses, with 33 goals conceded against 28 scored. They've clearly been the more porous, less consistent side of late, even allowing for the mix of league, cup and friendly fixtures in both samples.

On recent form alone, Tychy look the more reliable outfit, though friendlies in the mix mean this isn't a pure league picture.

Comparative Team Statistics: Tychy 71 vs Pogoń Siedlce

Recent meetings have favoured Tychy

The last four meetings between these two have gone Tychy's way more often than not. Tychy won 2-0 at home in March 2025 and then won 1-0 away in April 2026, either side of a 3-1 defeat at home to Pogoń in September 2025. Pogoń's only other win in this set came away back in August 2024.

Worth flagging that all four of these games were league fixtures rather than cup ties, so the context isn't identical, but the pattern of Tychy getting the better of Pogoń fairly regularly still stands out.

Tychy have won three of the last four head-to-head clashes, which cuts against any assumption that Pogoń are the bigger side on paper.

A cup tie that's harder to read than it looks

Pogoń currently play a tier above Tychy in the league pyramid, which might suggest they'd start this cup tie as favourites. But their recent form doesn't back that up, and neither does the head-to-head record, where Tychy have generally come out on top.

Cup matches can scramble expectations anyway, with team news and rotation choices often making a bigger difference than league position. Given how recently Tychy have beaten Pogoń, and how leaky Pogoń have looked defensively, this doesn't feel like a straightforward night for the away side.