Swindon Town vs Walsall Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form tells two different stories

Walsall have drawn four of their seven league games this season, including three in a row during September, but they beat Port Vale 2-0 last time out to stay unbeaten. It's a pattern of being hard to beat rather than routinely putting teams away.

Swindon Town: 20 completed matches; Walsall: 20 completed matches.

Swindon Town

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

55% 11 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

38

Difference

-11

Walsall

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

18

Conceded

29

Difference

-11

Swindon have lost their last two league matches, going down 4-0 at York and 1-0 at Salford City, and were also beaten in the EFL Trophy since then. Away from that dip though, their home form in the matches we can see has actually held up, with wins over Cheltenham, Port Vale and Colchester in their last three league games at home.

Swindon's home form looks noticeably better than their overall league position suggests.

Comparative Team Statistics: Swindon Town vs Walsall

A head-to-head that swings with home advantage

These two have met plenty of times down the years, going back to League One days a decade ago. Lately the pattern has favoured the home side: Swindon won 2-1 at home in April, and Walsall had won at home in the meeting before that.

There's no long unbeaten run for either club in this fixture, and recent meetings have rarely finished level. It points to home comforts mattering here.

Table positions are worlds apart

Walsall currently sit second in League Two after seven games, unbeaten with three wins and four draws, and 13 points collected. Swindon are down in 13th from the same number of matches, with three wins, one draw and three defeats, and a goal difference of minus three.

It's still early in the season, so things can change quickly, but right now the gap in the table matches the gap in confidence between these two sides.

Seven games in, Walsall are yet to lose while Swindon have already been beaten three times.

Key men in front of goal

A. Drinan has been Swindon's main source of goals, with five in seven appearances this season. For Walsall, A. Pressley has scored four in six games, while Courtney Clarke and R. Smith have both chipped in with two assists apiece. Swindon's A. Munda also has two assists in six matches.

Swindon Town:

Best scorers:

A. Drinan - 5

Penalty cards:

M. Clark x 1 x 1

Walsall:

Best scorers:

A. Pressley - 4

Best assist providers:

R. Smith - 2

Penalty cards:

E. Ahui x 4

S. Sprangler x 3

Walsall's E. Ahui has already picked up four yellow cards in seven games, more bookings than most in this fixture, which is worth keeping in mind over the course of a season.

How the game could shape up

Walsall have conceded just four goals in seven league games, easily the meaner of the two defences, while Swindon have shipped eleven. That gap suggests Walsall should have things under control at the back, even if their own scoring hasn't always been prolific.

Swindon have scored in each of their last three home league games though, so they're not short of goals in front of their own fans. If that continues, this could turn into a more open game than the table alone suggests.

Expect goals at both ends if Swindon's home scoring form continues against a Walsall side that rarely concedes.