Sunderland vs Brentford Prediction

Form check

Sunderland's home sample reads 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 20 matches, with 30 scored and 29 conceded. That includes a Europa League away win and a League Cup victory over Hull, but also a heavy 5-3 defeat to Manchester City in their most recent outing, so the form isn't all one direction.

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1

Sunderland to win

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Odds2.6

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£52.00

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Draw

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Odds3.3

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£66.00

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2

Brentford to win

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Odds2.6

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Sunderland: 20 completed matches; Brentford: 20 completed matches.

Sunderland

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

30

Conceded

29

Difference

+1

Brentford

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

55% 11 / 20

Loss

10% 2 / 20

Scored

42

Conceded

22

Difference

+20

Brentford's away record is 7 wins, 11 draws and just 2 losses from 20 games, with 42 scored and only 22 conceded. That's a side that rarely gets beaten, but their cup form stands out for the wrong reasons, including a 1-6 defeat at Birmingham and a 1-2 loss at Reading, both in the League Cup.

Brentford's league numbers look the stronger of the two, but their cup results tell a different story.

Comparative Team Statistics: Sunderland vs Brentford

Head-to-head

These two drew 1-1 when they met in the Premier League earlier this season, which is the most relevant data point given how recent it is. Before that, Brentford won 3-0 at home in January and Sunderland won 2-1 at home the previous August, so honours have been fairly even across the last three league meetings.

There are also two much older results from their Championship days back in 2017 and 2018, but with both clubs now well established in the Premier League, those don't tell us much about current strength.

Brentford's key men

The player data we have for Brentford is limited to two matches, but it points to some sharp attacking contributions. C. Wilson has scored twice in that span, while J. Anthony has three assists and D. Ouattara has two.

Brentford:

Best scorers:

C. Wilson - 2

Best assist providers:

J. Anthony - 3

D. Ouattara - 2

That's a small sample, likely from cup outings rather than the full run of league games, so it shouldn't be read as a season-long ranking. Still, it shows Brentford have attacking players capable of contributing when given minutes.

What to expect

Cup ties like this often bring squad changes, and both sides have shown contrasting results in earlier rounds this competition, Sunderland winning theirs and Brentford losing heavily in one of theirs. That makes it harder to lean on either team's league form as a guide for what happens here.

Sunderland's home matches this season have swung between comfortable wins and big defeats, while Brentford's away form is built on draws rather than authority. Put those patterns together and this has the look of a game that could go either way, with goals not guaranteed either.