Stenhousemuir vs Livingston Prediction

Form check: Stenhousemuir on a roll, Livingston stop-start

Across their last 20 matches in all competitions, Stenhousemuir have won 13 and lost just twice, scoring 27 and conceding only 12. That's a really tidy defensive record for a Championship side.

Stenhousemuir: 20 completed matches; Livingston: 20 completed matches.

Stenhousemuir

20 matches

Win

65% 13 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

10% 2 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

12

Difference

+15

Livingston

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

34

Conceded

20

Difference

+14

Livingston's numbers look decent on paper - 10 wins from 20 - but the losses are more frequent and the goals conceded tally is much higher at 18. Their last five results swing between a couple of wins, a draw and a couple of defeats, so there's less consistency there.

Stenhousemuir look the more settled, reliable side heading into this one.

Comparative Team Statistics: Stenhousemuir vs Livingston

Head-to-head: recent meetings favour Stenhousemuir

The most recent meeting came at the start of September, with Stenhousemuir winning 1-0 away at Livingston. Before that, a League Cup tie between the two finished goalless.

Further back there are some lopsided scorelines in both directions, including a 4-1 Stenhousemuir win and a heavy Livingston loss from past seasons, but those are old results that don't tell us much about the sides as they stand now.

The two freshest meetings have both gone Stenhousemuir's way, even with Livingston at home in one of them.

Where they sit in the table

Stenhousemuir are top with 22 points from eight games, built on seven wins and just the one defeat. Livingston are third on 13 points, having won four, drawn one and lost three.

That's a nine point gap already this early in the season, and Stenhousemuir's goal difference is far healthier too.

A rematch, and a month for things to change

This fixture is a month on from where our data snapshot sits, so both sides have time to pick up form, injuries or new results before kickoff. Worth keeping in mind rather than assuming today's picture holds exactly.

Stenhousemuir's home form recently includes wins over Arbroath, Partick and Motherwell, with their only home defeat in this sample coming in a League Cup tie against Hearts. Livingston will be looking to reverse last month's result, but they're doing it against a side that's barely put a foot wrong domestically.