Southampton vs QPR Prediction

Recent form tells two different stories

Southampton's wider record across the last 20 matches in all competitions reads well, with 13 wins from 20 and a healthy goal difference. But narrow it down to their last four Championship games and it's been less convincing: a loss at West Ham, a goalless draw with Bolton, a defeat at Norwich, then a tight 1-0 home win over Portsmouth.

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1

Southampton to win

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Draw

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Odds3.7

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2

QPR to win

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Odds3.6

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Southampton: 20 completed matches; QPR: 20 completed matches.

Southampton

20 matches

Win

65% 13 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

20

Difference

+18

QPR

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

21

Difference

+17

QPR's away form is the bigger worry here. Their last two away Championship trips ended in heavy defeats, 5-0 at Swansea and 3-0 at Birmingham, either side of a solid 4-1 home win over Derby. That's a side blowing hot and cold depending on the venue.

QPR's travel form looks considerably shakier than their home results.

Comparative Team Statistics: Southampton vs QPR

A fixture with plenty of goals in it

The last two meetings have gone different ways. QPR won 2-1 at home in November last year, but Southampton responded in style this February, winning 5-0 in this very fixture. Older meetings between the clubs, stretching back through their Premier League days, have been fairly even.

That February result is the standout data point, a reminder that Southampton have been capable of running up a big scoreline against this opponent at home before.

Closer than the reputations suggest

Southampton sit seventh with 17 points from 11 games, QPR ninth with the same points total from the same number of matches. There's barely anything between them on paper right now, even if the underlying form points suggest Southampton have the slightly healthier process.

Southampton's attacking options stand out

C. Larin has been in sharp form for Southampton, with 7 goals in 8 appearances, while F. Azaz has chipped in with 3 goals and 4 assists in the same span. That's a decent attacking platform to work from at home.

Southampton:

Best scorers:

C. Larin - 7

F. Azaz - 3

Best assist providers:

F. Azaz - 4

Léo Scienza - 2

Penalty cards:

F. Downes x 3

R. Manning x 3

QPR:

Penalty cards:

D. Cirkin x 1

J. Clarke-Salter x 4

There's no equivalent scoring data available for QPR here, only discipline figures showing J. Clarke-Salter picking up 4 yellow cards in 7 games and D. Cirkin collecting a red card in the same period. Worth keeping an eye on if things get feisty.