Somalia vs Ivory Coast Prediction & Betting Tips

Two very different sample sizes

Ivory Coast's log covers twenty matches across the World Cup, AFCON, qualifiers and friendlies, and the overall picture is 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses with 30 goals scored against 15 conceded. That includes a deep AFCON run in December and January, where they beat Mozambique, Burkina Faso and Egypt but also lost to Gabon and drew with Cameroon. Their more recent form dips a bit, with defeats to Norway, Germany, France, Scotland and a heavy 0-4 loss to South Korea mixed in among wins over Curaçao, Ecuador and Saudi Arabia.

Somalia: 5 completed matches; Ivory Coast: 20 completed matches.

Somalia

5 matches

Win

40% 2 / 5

Draw

40% 2 / 5

Loss

20% 1 / 5

Scored

5

Conceded

6

Difference

-1

Ivory Coast

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

30

Conceded

15

Difference

+15

Somalia's evidence is far thinner, just five matches spanning back to March 2024. The more recent three came away from home in the Arab Cup and friendlies, where they won twice at Bahrain and drew with Oman. The only home match in the sample is a 0-3 defeat to Eswatini in an earlier AFCON qualifier, so we don't really know how they've been playing in front of their own supporters lately.

Ivory Coast's sample is bigger and shows real quality, but Somalia's home form simply isn't well represented here.

Comparative Team Statistics: Somalia vs Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast's group position

We only have Ivory Coast's line from the qualifying table, but it shows them second after five games, with three wins and two losses, eight scored and three conceded. That's a reasonably strong return for this stage of the section, though without Somalia's own placing or the full table we can't say much about how these two sides compare on paper within the group itself.

How this one could go

On the numbers we do have, Ivory Coast look like the side with more proven quality across a wider range of matches, and their group position backs that up. Somalia's recent away form has actually been decent, with two wins and a draw in their last three, but that tells us little about how they'll cope at home against tougher opposition given the gap in the data.

With no home sample of note for Somalia and a mixed run of results for Ivory Coast in their most recent matches, there's a fair amount of uncertainty here that the numbers alone don't resolve.

Key player statistics: Somalia vs Ivory Coast

Somalia:

Best scorers:

B. Njie - 1

Penalty cards:

A. Abdullahi x 1

Ivory Coast:

Penalty cards:

C. Inao Oulaï x 1