Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central Prediction

Recent form tells two different stories

Sarmiento Junín's last 20 matches show 10 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses, with 28 goals scored and 30 conceded. Their most recent outing was a 3-1 win away at Aldosivi, and before that they'd beaten Union Santa Fe 4-1, Estudiantes 2-0 and Huracán 2-0 at home. It's been an up-and-down run but the goals have kept coming.

Sarmiento Junin: 20 completed matches; Barracas Central: 20 completed matches.

Sarmiento Junin

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

29

Conceded

29

Difference

0

Barracas Central

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

16

Conceded

23

Difference

-7

Barracas Central's record over the same length of sample is 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses, with just 16 scored against 23 conceded. Their recent form has cooled noticeably: a home loss to Huracán, draws with Argentinos Juniors and Tigre, and a defeat to Independiente Rivadavia, with only a narrow away win at Deportivo Riestra to show for the last two months.

Sarmiento's attacking form looks healthier right now than Barracas' recent output.

Comparative Team Statistics: Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central

Head-to-head: tight affairs, Sarmiento's recent edge

These two have met plenty of times over the years and draws have been common, including four 1-1 scorelines and a 0-0 in the last few seasons. The last two meetings, though, both went Sarmiento's way, winning 1-0 and 2-1 as the away side at Barracas' ground.

That's a notable recent trend given Sarmiento now get this one at home, though it's worth remembering head-to-head history doesn't guarantee anything about current form or personnel.

Sarmiento have had the better of the last couple of meetings even without home advantage.

League table snapshot

Barracas Central currently sit 9th with 21 points from 16 games, just ahead of Sarmiento Junín in 11th on 19 points from the same number of matches. The gap owes a lot to draws: Barracas have drawn six times to Sarmiento's one, which has kept them ticking over points-wise even as their recent form has dipped.

Limited player detail, mostly on the home side

The available player information centres on Sarmiento Junín. J. Marabel has four assists in 26 appearances, making him their main creative outlet on the numbers we have. Two other players, J. Insaurralde and S. Salle, have picked up nine yellow cards apiece this season, which is worth keeping an eye on for suspension risk.

Sarmiento Junin:

Best assist providers:

J. Marabel - 4

Penalty cards:

J. Insaurralde x 2 x 9

S. Salle x 9

There's no equivalent player data for Barracas Central here, so we can't comment on their personnel specifically.

What kind of game can we expect?

Sarmiento's matches have tended to produce goals at both ends, while Barracas' recent games have often been tighter, low-scoring affairs. The head-to-head sample backs that up in part, with plenty of 1-1 and 0-0 results over the years, though there's been at least one high-scoring 5-3 meeting too.

Put together, this looks more likely to be an open contest than a cagey one, with Sarmiento's home scoring form the bigger factor, but Barracas' tighter recent results suggest they won't simply be run over.