Sandefjord vs Lillestrom Prediction & Betting Tips

Form lines are pulling in different directions

Lillestrom's overall sample from recent months makes for uneven reading: seven wins, two draws and eleven losses, with more goals conceded than scored. Their last five have been particularly bumpy, with two wins mixed in among three defeats, including a heavy 4-1 loss to Fredrikstad and a home reverse in the Europa League.

Sandefjord: 20 completed matches; Lillestrom: 20 completed matches.

Sandefjord

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

23

Conceded

26

Difference

-3

Lillestrom

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

55% 11 / 20

Scored

23

Conceded

33

Difference

-10

Sandefjord's numbers over the same period look steadier: six wins, six draws and eight losses, with a tighter goal difference. They've lost just once in their last five, away to Bodo/Glimt, and picked up two wins and two draws either side of that.

On the most recent evidence, Sandefjord look the more settled side, even though Lillestrom sit higher in the table.

Comparative Team Statistics: Sandefjord vs Lillestrom

Lillestrom have travelled well to this fixture historically

Looking back at meetings played at Sandefjord's ground, Lillestrom have won the majority, including a 4-1 win in 2022 and 3-1 wins in both 2017 and 2018. Sandefjord's own win in this exact fixture came back in December 2023.

It's a pattern worth noting, though several of those results stretch back a few seasons and don't tell us much about either side's current squad.

The table tells a clear story, for now

Lillestrom sit sixth with 32 points from 21 games, while Sandefjord are down in 11th on 23 points from the same number of matches. That's a nine-point gap between two sides who've played an identical number of fixtures.

Position alone favours Lillestrom, but their recent slump means that gap might be narrower than it looks in practice.

Personnel notes to watch

Fredrik Gulbrandsen has been Lillestrom's main source of goals, with six in nineteen appearances, while Vá has chipped in five assists from the middle of the park. On the disciplinary side, Y. Ibrahimaj has picked up seven yellow cards for Lillestrom this season, and Sandefjord's J. Vester has two yellows and two reds from just thirteen games.

Sandefjord:

Penalty cards:

J. Vester x 2 x 2

Lillestrom:

Best scorers:

F. Gulbrandsen - 6

Best assist providers:

Vá - 5

Penalty cards:

H. Woxen x 1 x 3

E. Garnås x 1

Y. Ibrahimaj x 7

Vester's disciplinary record is one to keep an eye on if Sandefjord need him for a full ninety minutes.

How this one could play out

Lillestrom arrive with the stronger league position but a wobbly recent record, particularly with goals leaking at both ends. Sandefjord, despite sitting lower in the table, have been tidier of late and have shown they can live with sides above them, with their win at Bodo/Glimt's expense standing out as the exception to a generally cautious recent run.

Add in a head-to-head record that's leaned Lillestrom's way historically at this ground, and this looks like a fixture where recent form and past meetings are pulling in opposite directions.