Roskilde vs Aarhus Prediction

Strong form, different worlds

Roskilde's home numbers jump out: ten wins, nine draws and just one defeat across their last 20 matches, with 45 scored and only 21 conceded. That's a really tidy record, though most of it comes from 2. Division and DBU Pokalen fixtures rather than top-flight football.

Roskilde: 20 completed matches; Aarhus: 20 completed matches.

Roskilde

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

50% 10 / 20

Loss

5% 1 / 20

Scored

46

Conceded

22

Difference

+24

Aarhus

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

35

Difference

-3

Aarhus's away form looks far shakier on the surface: five wins, six draws and nine losses from 20, with 33 for and 36 against. But that sample includes proper tests like Champions League qualifiers against Lech Poznan and Sabah FA, plus Europa League nights against Benfica, alongside their regular Superliga business.

Aarhus's away record reads worse on paper, but a chunk of it comes against much stronger opposition than Roskilde will offer, so it's not a clean like-for-like comparison.

Comparative Team Statistics: Roskilde vs Aarhus

Ancient history between them

There are only three recorded meetings between these two, and all of them are from 2014 and 2015 in the old 1. Division. Aarhus won one, Roskilde won one, and the other finished level.

That's well over a decade old now, with both squads completely different, so it doesn't tell us much about how this cup tie is likely to go.

Can Roskilde bridge the gap?

This is exactly the kind of cup tie where level gaps matter. Aarhus are a Superliga club who've featured in Europe this season, even if results haven't gone their way recently. Roskilde, by contrast, have built their good form in the second tier and domestic cup football.

Whether that gap shows up depends a lot on how seriously Aarhus treat this round and how well Roskilde's rhythm holds up against sharper opposition. Their home form has been excellent, but it hasn't really been tested against top-flight quality yet.