Réal Bamako host ES Zarzis in the CAF Confederation Cup. Both clubs have been winning more often than losing over their last twenty matches, which is a decent starting point for either side.
What stands out is how each team got here. Bamako and Zarzis both had to see off opponents in continental ties just last month, and how they managed those games tells us something before we even get to the head-to-head numbers.
Analysis updated .
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Form over the last twenty matches
Réal Bamako's sample of twenty games reads 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses, with 23 goals scored and 13 conceded. That covers matches stretching back to January, mostly in Mali's Première Division, with two recent Confederation Cup fixtures mixed in. It's worth noting the sample includes games away from home as well as at home, so this is general form rather than a home-specific record.
Réal Bamako: 20 completed matches; ES Zarzis: 20 completed matches.
Réal Bamako
- Win
- 50% 10 / 20
- Draw
- 30% 6 / 20
- Loss
- 20% 4 / 20
- Scored
- 23
- Conceded
- 13
- Difference
- +10
ES Zarzis
- Win
- 40% 8 / 20
- Draw
- 25% 5 / 20
- Loss
- 35% 7 / 20
- Scored
- 20
- Conceded
- 14
- Difference
- +6
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAF Confederation Cup | Réal Bamako | Vitesse | 11.09.2026 | 0-0 |
| CAF Confederation Cup | Vitesse | Réal Bamako | 06.09.2026 | 1-2 |
| Première Division | Réal Bamako | US Bougouba | 13.06.2026 | 4-0 |
| Première Division | Djoliba | Réal Bamako | 09.06.2026 | 0-1 |
| Première Division | Réal Bamako | Afrique Football Élite | 05.06.2026 | 0-0 |
| Première Division | ASKO | Réal Bamako | 31.05.2026 | 1-0 |
| Première Division | Réal Bamako | Derby Academie | 25.05.2026 | 1-0 |
| Première Division | Réal Bamako | Diarra | 22.05.2026 | 2-1 |
| Première Division | Binga | Réal Bamako | 09.05.2026 | 1-0 |
| Première Division | Réal Bamako | Bakaridjan | 24.04.2026 | 1-1 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | Club Africain | ES Zarzis | 20.09.2026 | 1-0 |
| Ligue 1 | ES Zarzis | US Monastirienne | 16.09.2026 | 1-2 |
| CAF Confederation Cup | Diambars | ES Zarzis | 12.09.2026 | 1-0 |
| CAF Confederation Cup | ES Zarzis | Diambars | 04.09.2026 | 3-1 |
| Ligue 1 | CS Sfaxien | ES Zarzis | 29.08.2026 | 2-1 |
| Ligue 1 | ES Zarzis | Olympique Béja | 23.08.2026 | 1-0 |
| Cup | ES Zarzis | ES Tunis | 31.05.2026 | 0-1 |
| Cup | CS Sfaxien | ES Zarzis | 24.05.2026 | 0-1 |
| Cup | ES Zarzis | CA Bizertin | 20.05.2026 | 2-0 |
| Ligue 1 | CA Bizertin | ES Zarzis | 13.05.2026 | 0-2 |
ES Zarzis show 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses from their own twenty games, scoring 20 and conceding 14. Their fixtures span Tunisian Ligue 1, domestic cup football and the Confederation Cup, again going back several months rather than just the recent weeks. Bamako's win ratio is the healthier of the two across these samples, though neither run is dominant.
Bamako's underlying numbers are a shade stronger, but both records are built from a mix of competitions rather than a clean run in this one.
Comparative Team Statistics: Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis
Both sides just came through a continental tie
Réal Bamako's most recent two matches were both in the Confederation Cup against Vitesse: a 1-2 away win followed by a 0-0 draw at home, enough to see them through. ES Zarzis did something similar against Diambars, winning 3-1 at home before losing 1-0 away, which was still enough on aggregate.
So both teams arrive at this fixture straight off continental knockout football rather than a run of routine domestic games. That can cut either way — some sides carry momentum from getting through a tie, others feel the physical toll of two extra matches in a short space of time.
Both Réal Bamako and ES Zarzis look like reasonably solid sides on the numbers, and both have just proven they can get through a continental tie. But without market prices to weigh against that, and without any direct history between them, there isn't a clear enough angle to back here.
We'd rather sit this one out than force a selection from a thin evidence base. If odds appear closer to kickoff, it'll be worth revisiting with a proper look at the numbers behind them.
Who will win?
