QPR vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent league form

QPR haven't been beating teams for fun, but they've barely lost either. Their last five Championship games read draw, draw, draw, loss, win, against Preston, West Brom, Charlton, Middlesbrough and Cardiff.

QPR: 20 completed matches; Derby: 20 completed matches.

QPR

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

31

Conceded

23

Difference

+8

Derby

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

60% 12 / 20

Scored

23

Conceded

32

Difference

-9

Derby's run has been rockier. They've lost three of their last four league matches, including a 3-0 defeat at West Ham and a home loss to West Brom, with their only win in that stretch coming away at Portsmouth.

Comparative Team Statistics: QPR vs Derby

History doesn't fully back the table

These two have met plenty of times over the years, and it hasn't always gone QPR's way despite the current gap in form. Derby actually won the reverse fixture 3-2 back in April, and they also won at QPR's ground in the 2025-26 corresponding fixture before that.

QPR did hammer Derby 4-0 in February 2025, so there's no consistent pattern either way across recent seasons.

Recent head-to-head results suggest Derby can be competitive in this fixture even when their overall form is poor.

A big gap in the table

QPR sit sixth with 13 points from eight games, while Derby are down in 22nd on just five points from the same number of matches. It's still early enough in the season that this is a snapshot rather than a settled picture, but the gap is already significant.

The goal difference tells its own story too. QPR have scored ten and conceded seven, whereas Derby have scored only seven and let in fourteen.

Derby's defensive record away from home is a particular concern given how open they've been this season.

Contributors worth knowing

Derby's B. Clark has been their most involved creative player recently, picking up two assists across his last eight appearances, though that's a modest return given how few goals the side have scored.

QPR:

Penalty cards:

D. Cirkin x 1

J. Clarke-Salter x 4

Derby:

Best assist providers:

B. Clark - 2

On the QPR side, both J. Clarke-Salter and D. Cirkin have picked up cards regularly across their last seven games each, with Cirkin sent off once in that spell. That's not proof of who plays here, just a sign of who's been busy defensively.

How it might play out

QPR's tighter defensive numbers at home, combined with Derby's leaky record on the road, point toward a game where QPR create more and Derby have to defend for long spells.

But Derby's recent head-to-head success against this exact opponent, even during a poor run of form, means writing them off completely would be premature.