Estac Troyes vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form: neither side has much momentum

Troyes have won just once in their last five Ligue 1 outings, with three defeats in that spell including a heavy 2-6 loss at home to Strasbourg. Their only win came away at Lorient, and they also drew 0-0 with Paris FC.

What could your bet return?

1

Estac Troyes to win

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Odds3.6

Potential return

£72.00

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X

Draw

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Odds3.7

Potential return

£74.00

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2

Marseille to win

Your stake£

Odds1.9

Potential return

£38.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Estac Troyes: 20 completed matches; Marseille: 20 completed matches.

Estac Troyes

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

24

Difference

+14

Marseille

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

5% 1 / 20

Loss

55% 11 / 20

Scored

26

Conceded

31

Difference

-5

Marseille's recent league form reads similarly poorly. They've lost four of their last five Ligue 1 matches, beaten by PSG, Rennes, Paris FC and Monaco, with their sole win a comfortable 4-0 defeat of Strasbourg.

Neither team is heading into this one with any real rhythm behind them.

Comparative Team Statistics: Estac Troyes vs Marseille

Head-to-head: history that predates this version of both clubs

The last meeting between these two came back in April 2023, when Marseille won 3-1. Earlier fixtures also tend to favour Marseille, including a 6-0 win and a couple of away victories at Troyes' ground.

That record stretches back over a decade in places, though, and both squads look very different now. It's worth noting as context rather than anything that tells us much about Sunday's game.

Standings: both clubs sit in the bottom two

Troyes currently sit 16th with four points from five games, having scored four and conceded eleven. Marseille are just below them in 17th, with three points from the same number of matches, scoring seven and conceding eight.

It's an unusual look for Marseille to be beneath a newly returned Troyes side this early in the season, even allowing for how small the sample still is.

Marseille being priced as favourites despite sitting below their hosts adds an interesting wrinkle to how this one might play out.

Gouiri's goals against Weah's cards

Amine Gouiri has been one of the few bright spots for Marseille, scoring four goals in their last five matches across competitions and adding an assist too. Timothy Weah, by contrast, has picked up two yellow cards and a red in the same span, so his discipline is one to keep an eye on.

Estac Troyes:

Penalty cards:

M. Diaz x 2

Marseille:

Best scorers:

A. Gouiri - 4

Best assist providers:

A. Gouiri - 1

Penalty cards:

T. Weah x 1 x 2

K. Abdallah x 1

For Troyes, Maxime Diaz has picked up two yellow cards recently but nothing more serious. Marseille's Kiki Abdallah has one yellow in the same period.

Goals look the more likely story here

Both teams have shown they can leak goals this season, and recent matches for each side have produced plenty at both ends. Troyes' 2-6 defeat to Strasbourg and Marseille's own 4-0 win over the same opponent, plus their 2-3 loss to Paris FC, all point the same way.

With Troyes conceding at over two goals a game on average and Marseille's defence far from watertight either, a tight, low-scoring affair doesn't look the most probable outcome.

The goals markets look more interesting here than trying to nail the winner.