Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & Betting Tips

Mixed-competition samples show two teams close on paper

Looking at the wider run of matches, both sides have played around 20 games across Liga MX, Leagues Cup and other competitions. Monterrey have the better win count, nine victories to Chivas' eight, but they've also lost six compared to Chivas' four.

Monterrey: 20 completed matches; Guadalajara Chivas: 20 completed matches.

Monterrey

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

35

Conceded

29

Difference

+6

Guadalajara Chivas

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

20

Difference

+7

Chivas have shipped fewer goals across their sample, 18 against compared to Monterrey's 26, even though goals for are fairly similar. It's a broader picture than just league form, so it should be read alongside the standings rather than instead of them.

Chivas' defensive numbers look tidier across this wider sample, which lines up with their better current league position.

Comparative Team Statistics: Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas

Recent head-to-heads have gone both ways

These two have met close to twenty times in the data we've got, stretching back to 2017. The last meeting in March 2026 saw Chivas win 3-2 away from home, following a 4-2 Chivas win at home the previous November, and before that a 3-1 Monterrey win.

There's no obvious pattern building here in the last few meetings. It's swung from one side to the other fairly regularly, which doesn't give either team a psychological edge going in.

League table tells a clear story right now

As things stand, Chivas sit second with 18 points from nine games, having won five and lost just once. Monterrey are down in tenth, on 13 points from eight matches with three defeats already.

That's a real gap in current league form, though there's a month between this snapshot and the actual fixture, so it's worth treating it as a starting point rather than a guarantee of how either side will look come matchday.

Chivas hold a clear advantage in the current standings, but a month is enough time for form to shift.

Key attacking names and some card history

Monterrey's Ocampos has been their standout scorer with five goals in seven appearances in this sample, and Rossi has chipped in three assists in the same span. For Chivas, Alvarado leads the scoring with three in nine, with Marín supplying two assists.

Monterrey:

Best scorers:

L. Ocampos - 5

H. Cuypers - 3

Best assist providers:

D. Rossi - 3

J. Corona - 2

Penalty cards:

C. Salcedo x 1 x 2

S. Medina x 1 x 1

Guadalajara Chivas:

Best assist providers:

R. Marín - 2

Penalty cards:

Á. Sepúlveda x 1

O. Govea x 1

On discipline, Monterrey's Salcedo and Medina have both picked up a red card in only four appearances each, while Chivas' Sepúlveda has also been sent off once in eight matches. None of that confirms who's actually available for this specific fixture, but it's a pattern worth keeping an eye on.