Modena vs Mantova Prediction

Form across a wider sample

Mantova's broader sample, which includes Serie B, Coppa Italia and some pre-season friendlies, shows 12 wins from 20 matches with 45 goals scored and only 27 conceded. That's a strong scoring return, even allowing for a few friendly wins padding the goal tally.

Modena: 20 completed matches; Mantova: 20 completed matches.

Modena

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

28

Conceded

21

Difference

+7

Mantova

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

45

Conceded

27

Difference

+18

Modena's equivalent sample is more mixed: 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses from 20 matches, with 28 scored and 21 conceded. It's a tighter, more cautious profile than Mantova's, though it spans the same wide mix of competitions and isn't a clean league-only read.

Mantova's underlying numbers look the healthier of the two, but neither sample is purely Serie B form this season.

Comparative Team Statistics: Modena vs Mantova

A head-to-head that keeps swinging

The last four competitive meetings have gone back and forth. Modena won 2-1 at home in March this year, Mantova won 3-1 at home the previous September, Modena won 3-1 at home before that in February 2025, and the two drew 0-0 in November 2024.

Older meetings stretch back to Serie C days and don't say much about where either side stands now. The recent record, though, shows no side has had the upper hand for long.

Recent meetings have alternated winners, so history doesn't point strongly either way.

Early table positions

Five Serie B games in, Mantova sit third with 11 points from three wins and two draws, still unbeaten. Modena are just below in fourth with 10 points, also on three wins but with one defeat and one draw.

Mantova have scored a touch more, 10 to 8, while conceding one more, 5 to 4, than Modena. It's a tight gap on paper, with games played between now and this fixture at the end of October likely to shift things further.

Only one point and one defeat separate them early on, so there's little table-based edge.

Goals have come from different places

Mantova's F. Ruocco has four goals in five appearances, clearly their most productive attacker in this sample. V. Vlahović has chipped in two in four as well, giving them a couple of players finding the net regularly.

Modena:

Best scorers:

G. Ambrosino - 2

G. Caso - 2

G. Olzer - 2

Mantova:

Best scorers:

F. Ruocco - 4

V. Vlahović - 2

Modena's scoring is more spread out, with G. Ambrosino, G. Caso and G. Olzer each on two goals from their recent appearances. That list isn't a full squad picture or confirmation of who starts, but it does show where early goals have come from.

What this one could look like

Put together, this looks like a contest between two sides in good touch rather than one with a clear gap in quality. Mantova's unbeaten start and sharper recent scoring stand out, but Modena standing just one point behind, with their own home game, keeps this close on paper.

With kickoff a month after this snapshot of form, both teams could well arrive in different shape than they are now. That's worth keeping in mind rather than assuming today's numbers hold exactly.