Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City Prediction & Betting Tips

Form guide: two clubs heading in different directions

St. Louis City's recent run reads well across all competitions: 13 wins, 6 draws and just 1 defeat from their last 20 matches, with 43 goals scored against 23 conceded. That's a side firing on most cylinders.

Minnesota United FC: 20 completed matches; St. Louis City: 20 completed matches.

Minnesota United FC

20 matches

Win

15% 3 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

37

Difference

-5

St. Louis City

20 matches

Win

65% 13 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

5% 1 / 20

Scored

43

Conceded

23

Difference

+20

Minnesota, by contrast, have managed only 3 wins in their last 20, with 10 defeats and a negative goal difference. Their form has been patchy for a while now.

St. Louis City look the sharper side by a clear distance right now.

Comparative Team Statistics: Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City

Head-to-head: recent form versus the longer trend

The most recent meeting between these two, on 13 September, saw St. Louis City win 4-2. That's fresh in the memory heading into this rematch.

Zoom out further, though, and Minnesota have actually won more of the last eight meetings between these sides, including a couple of home wins by two or more goals. History is mixed rather than one-sided.

The long-term head-to-head leans Minnesota's way, but the most recent chapter favours St. Louis City.

League table tells a similar story to the form guide

St. Louis City sit third with 44 points from 26 games, built on 12 wins, 8 draws and just 6 losses, with a healthy plus-9 goal difference.

Minnesota are down in 14th on 29 points, with 7 wins and 11 losses from the same number of games, and their goal difference sits at minus-7. That's a sizeable gap between the two sides right now.

Injuries and the key men up top

Both sides have a reliable goalscorer leading the way: Rafael Navarro has 14 for St. Louis City in 26 appearances, matched by Minnesota's K. Yeboah with 14 in 25. Neither attack is short of a focal point.

Minnesota United FC:

Best scorers:

K. Yeboah - 14

Best assist providers:

J. Pereyra - 10

Penalty cards:

J. Díaz x 8

Injury list:

J. Rodriguez

P. Stroud

St. Louis City:

Best scorers:

Rafael Navarro - 14

Penalty cards:

C. Durkin x 1 x 10

Injury list:

P. Ault

B. McSorley

Minnesota's bigger concern is the absence of J. Pereyra, their top assist provider with 10 this season, who's out with a muscle injury. A few other Minnesota players are also away on international duty. St. Louis have some fitness doubts of their own with Ault and McSorley questionable, but their scoring threat looks less disrupted.

Losing Pereyra's creativity is a real blow for Minnesota's attacking play.

How this one might play out

On paper, St. Louis City arrive with the better form, the better table position and a recent head-to-head win in their pocket. That's a strong combination.

Minnesota do get home advantage, and their longer head-to-head record against this opponent shows they're capable of turning games their way at home. But with their creative outlet missing and squad depth stretched by international call-ups, it's harder to see them controlling this the way they'd need to.