Millwall vs QPR Prediction

Recent form

Over their last 20 matches in all competitions, QPR have won nine, drawn seven and lost only four, scoring 35 goals and conceding 24. That includes a strong recent run in the league, with away wins at Blackburn and Portsmouth and just two defeats in their last eleven matches overall.

Millwall: 20 completed matches; QPR: 20 completed matches.

Millwall

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

25

Conceded

26

Difference

-1

QPR

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

21

Difference

+17

Millwall's equivalent sample reads less convincingly: seven wins, five draws and eight losses, with 25 scored and 26 conceded. Their recent weeks have included a heavy 5-1 loss at Southampton and a home defeat to Swansea, alongside spells of decent form in between.

QPR's underlying form, particularly on the road, currently looks steadier than Millwall's at home.

Comparative Team Statistics: Millwall vs QPR

Head-to-head record

These two have met regularly down the years, and the recent head-to-head picture actually favours Millwall. In their last ten league meetings, Millwall have won six, QPR two, with two draws. Their most recent meeting, back in August, was a 1-1 League Cup draw.

History offers a reminder that current form doesn't always carry over against a familiar rival.

League standings

QPR sit ninth in the Championship with 17 points from 11 games, built on four wins, five draws and two defeats. Millwall are three places and two points behind in 12th, with four wins, three draws and four losses. There's not a great deal separating the two sides in the table at this stage.

Players to watch

Millwall's goal threat has centred on Lukas Dykes, who has scored four times in eight appearances this season, with Neghli and Jenson Metcalfe contributing two assists apiece. On the disciplinary side, QPR's Clarke-Salter has picked up four yellow cards in seven games, while both Metcalfe and QPR's Cirkin have already been sent off despite limited minutes.

Millwall:

Best scorers:

L. Dykes - 4

Best assist providers:

C. Neghli - 2

Jenson Metcalfe - 2

Penalty cards:

Jenson Metcalfe x 1 x 3

QPR:

Penalty cards:

D. Cirkin x 1

J. Clarke-Salter x 4

How this one could go

Millwall have shipped goals regularly in recent weeks, while QPR's away form has been tidier and built on a longer unbeaten run. The head-to-head record, though, has swung Millwall's way more often than not in recent seasons, even when the league table has suggested otherwise. With these conflicting signals, this looks like a fixture where recent league position and head-to-head trend are pulling in different directions.