Millwall vs Derby Prediction

How each side has been playing

Millwall's recent run has been a bit up and down. They've mixed wins and heavy scorelines with a run of draws and the odd defeat, so there's no clear momentum either way right now.

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1

Millwall to win

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Odds1.65

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£33.00

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Draw

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Odds3.8

Potential return

£76.00

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2

Derby to win

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Odds5

Potential return

£100.00

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Millwall: 20 completed matches; Derby: 20 completed matches.

Millwall

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

25

Conceded

26

Difference

-1

Derby

20 matches

Win

15% 3 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

60% 12 / 20

Scored

20

Conceded

33

Difference

-13

Derby's picture is much tougher reading. Across their last twenty matches in all competitions they've won only three, drawn five and lost twelve, shipping goals at a worrying rate along the way.

Derby's recent matches have brought far more defeats than wins, which is the bigger concern heading into this fixture.

Comparative Team Statistics: Millwall vs Derby

A long-running fixture

These clubs have faced off regularly over the years, and plenty of those games have been tight. The last meeting back in March saw Millwall edge it 1-0, following a 1-1 draw the time before that.

Go back further and you'll find several 0-0s and 1-0 wins on both sides, which suggests neither club has had the clear upper hand historically, even if recent form points elsewhere.

The table tells its own story

Millwall sit in the middle of the Championship, with fifteen points from eleven games and a goal difference that's roughly balanced. It's not a flying start, but it's steady enough.

Derby are a long way back, down in 23rd with just six points from the same number of matches. They've scored only nine goals and conceded twenty, which sums up a difficult campaign so far.

Players worth keeping an eye on

Millwall's L. Dykes has four goals in his last eight appearances, making him their main source of goals right now. Jenson Metcalfe has also been heavily involved in assists, though he's picked up three yellows and a red in that same spell.

Millwall:

Best scorers:

L. Dykes - 4

Best assist providers:

C. Neghli - 2

Jenson Metcalfe - 2

Penalty cards:

Jenson Metcalfe x 1 x 3

Derby:

Best assist providers:

B. Clark - 2

For Derby, B. Clark leads their assist charts with two in his last eight games, but with the team struggling for goals overall, chances for him to add to that tally have been limited.

Metcalfe's disciplinary record is one to watch if he starts and gets involved early.