Italy vs France Prediction

How each side arrives

Italy have won four of their last six matches, including narrow away wins over Türkiye and Greece, plus a tidy victory in Luxembourg. Their one defeat in that run came at home to Belgium, and outside of that they've scored ten and conceded just five.

What could your bet return?

1

Italy to win

Your stake£

Odds3.91

Potential return

£78.20

Bet Now

X

Draw

Your stake£

Odds4.1

Potential return

£82.00

Bet Now

2

France to win

Your stake£

Odds1.71

Potential return

£34.20

Bet Now

Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Italy: 6 completed matches; France: 16 completed matches.

Italy

6 matches

Win

66.7% 4 / 6

Draw

16.7% 1 / 6

Loss

16.7% 1 / 6

Scored

10

Conceded

5

Difference

+5

France

16 matches

Win

75% 12 / 16

Draw

6.3% 1 / 16

Loss

18.8% 3 / 16

Scored

36

Conceded

17

Difference

+19

France's sample over a similar stretch is busier again, with twelve wins from sixteen matches and goals flying in regularly. Their recent Nations League form stands out too, with away wins at Belgium and Türkiye either side of that draw with Italy.

Neither side has really stumbled lately, which points towards a tightly contested game rather than a one-sided one.

Comparative Team Statistics: Italy vs France

A fixture that rarely settles early

These two have met five times in the data available, and it's about as even as it gets: two wins apiece and a draw, including last month's 1-1. Scorelines like Italy's 3-1 win in 2024 and France's 2008 Euros success show how much the balance has swung over the years.

In their two Nations League meetings during 2024, the away side actually won 3-1 both times, which says plenty about how little home advantage has counted for in this particular rivalry.

Players carrying the form book

Kylian Mbappé shows up as France's top scorer in the recent sample, with Olise credited for the assist that helped create it. On the other side, Maldini and Lepaul both feature on the cards list for their respective teams.

Italy:

Penalty cards:

D. Maldini x 1

France:

Best scorers:

Kylian Mbappé - 1

Best assist providers:

M. Olise - 1

Penalty cards:

E. Lepaul x 1

That's a narrow slice of data rather than a full squad picture, so it points to involvement and discipline trends rather than confirmed line-ups for this specific match.

What kind of game to expect

Given how both sides have been playing, goals seem likely. France's recent matches have produced plenty at both ends, and Italy's own numbers aren't far behind despite being a smaller sample.

The head-to-head record also suggests the away side here won't be overawed, which could make this a genuinely open contest rather than a straightforward home occasion for Italy.