Middlesbrough vs Derby Prediction

Last updated 7 Nov 2026
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England Championship
05.12.2026    12:30
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Derby
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Middlesbrough host Derby in the Championship. Middlesbrough have been one of the most consistent teams in the division this season, while Derby have struggled to find any rhythm at all.

The two sides have swapped results in recent meetings, with wins shared fairly evenly over the past couple of seasons. That history sits awkwardly alongside how differently these teams are playing right now.

Analysis updated .

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Form guide: a big contrast in results

Middlesbrough's recent record across their last 20 matches in all competitions is strong, with ten wins and only four defeats. They've scored freely too, hitting 39 goals in that stretch.

Middlesbrough: 20 completed matches; Derby: 20 completed matches.

Middlesbrough

20 matches
Win
50% 10 / 20
Draw
30% 6 / 20
Loss
20% 4 / 20
Scored
39
Conceded
30
Difference
+9

Derby

20 matches
Win
15% 3 / 20
Draw
25% 5 / 20
Loss
60% 12 / 20
Scored
20
Conceded
37
Difference
-17
Middlesbrough
League Home Away Date Score
Championship Wrexham Middlesbrough 04.11.2026 2-0
Championship Middlesbrough Charlton 31.10.2026 3-0
Championship Bolton Middlesbrough 23.10.2026 1-5
Championship Middlesbrough Cardiff 17.10.2026 2-2
Championship Stoke City Middlesbrough 13.10.2026 2-3
Championship Middlesbrough Wolves 10.10.2026 1-0
Championship Birmingham Middlesbrough 19.09.2026 2-2
Championship Middlesbrough Millwall 15.09.2026 2-2
Championship Middlesbrough Norwich 12.09.2026 4-3
League Cup Crystal Palace Middlesbrough 08.09.2026 3-0
Load more
Derby
League Home Away Date Score
Championship Derby Bolton 06.11.2026 3-1
Championship Derby Norwich 03.11.2026 0-4
Championship Millwall Derby 31.10.2026 4-1
Championship Sheffield Utd Derby 24.10.2026 1-1
Championship Derby Stoke City 17.10.2026 0-1
Championship QPR Derby 14.10.2026 4-1
Championship Derby Wrexham 10.10.2026 1-1
Championship Burnley Derby 19.09.2026 1-1
Championship Derby Birmingham 12.09.2026 1-2
Championship Derby West Brom 09.09.2026 0-1
Load more

Derby have had it much tougher over the same period. Just two wins from 20, with 13 defeats and 39 goals conceded. Their own goal tally reads very differently, just 18 scored.

Middlesbrough's attacking output and Derby's defensive struggles point to a tough night for the visitors.

Comparative Team Statistics: Middlesbrough vs Derby

Middlesbrough vs Derby statistics: team strength, attack, defence and head-to-head comparison.

Head-to-head: no one-way traffic

These two have met plenty of times down the years, and recent meetings haven't followed a single pattern. Derby won the January 2026 game 1-0, while Middlesbrough took the November 2025 fixture 2-1.

Head 2 Head
League Home Away Date Score
Championship Derby Middlesbrough 01.01.2026 1-0
Championship Middlesbrough Derby 29.11.2025 2-1
Championship Middlesbrough Derby 01.03.2025 1-0
Championship Derby Middlesbrough 17.08.2024 1-0
Championship Middlesbrough Derby 12.02.2022 4-1
Championship Derby Middlesbrough 21.08.2021 0-0
Championship Derby Middlesbrough 13.02.2021 2-1
Championship Middlesbrough Derby 25.11.2020 3-0
Championship Middlesbrough Derby 11.01.2020 2-2
Championship Derby Middlesbrough 02.11.2019 2-0
Load more

Further back, Middlesbrough edged a March 2025 meeting 1-0, and Derby won away in August 2024. There's no obvious run of dominance either way in this fixture historically.

Past results here offer little guide given how differently the two sides are performing right now.

League table underlines the gap

Middlesbrough currently sit top of the Championship with 28 points from 13 games, built on eight wins and just one defeat.

№ Team Played Win Draw Loss GF/GA Points
1 Middlesbrough 13 8 4 1 30/17 28
2 Swansea 13 8 2 3 20/13 26
3 Wolves 13 7 3 3 23/16 24
22 Burnley 13 1 6 6 17/25 9
23 Derby 13 1 4 8 11/25 7
24 Preston 13 1 2 10 10/27 5

Derby are down in 23rd with only seven points from the same number of matches, having won just once. Their goal difference of minus 14 tells its own story about the season so far.

Middlesbrough vs Derby: England Championship match preview with team badges and kick-off details.

Players making the difference

Middlesbrough's W. Lankshear has been their main source of goals, netting six in his last eight appearances for the club.

Middlesbrough:
Best scorers:
W. Lankshear - 6
Best assist providers:
L. Ayling - 2
Derby:
Best assist providers:
B. Clark - 2

At the other end, Derby's B. Clark has chipped in with two assists in his last eight games, while Middlesbrough's L. Ayling has also provided two assists in the same span.

Squad lists and player details

Squad and player details

Middlesbrough
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
Neto Borges Brazil 30 Defender 185 89
R. McGree Australia 28 Midfielder 178 78
C. Brittain England 28 Defender 181 77
G. Edmundson England 29 Defender 190 75
A. Jones England 29 Defender 191 70
L. Ayling England 35 Defender 185 72
S. Byram England 33 Defender 180 72
J. McLaughlin Scotland 39 Goalkeeper 191 82
S. Dieng Senegal 31 Goalkeeper 193 90
D. Strelec Slovakia 25 Attacker 185 73
M. Whittaker England 25 Midfielder 183 69
C. Barron Scotland 24 Midfielder 175 n/a
A. Malanda France 25 Defender 185 75
M. Peart-Harris England 24 Midfielder 187 80
S. Brynn England 26 Goalkeeper 184 75
S. Berhalter USA 25 Midfielder 175 70
A. Morris USA 24 Midfielder 173 61
J. Sarmiento Ecuador 24 Attacker 178 72
K. Joseph Scotland 25 Attacker 186 75
T. Conway England 24 Attacker 185 79
R. Vítek Czechia 23 Goalkeeper 198 n/a
Leo Castledine England 21 Midfielder n/a n/a
A. Phillips England 21 Defender 192 85
A. Cozier-Duberry England 21 Midfielder 170 cm 57 kg
R. Pukštas USA 22 Midfielder 181 75
L. McCabe England 20 Midfielder 173 68
M. Arfsten USA 25 Defender 185 78
J. Dede Scotland 20 Defender n/a n/a
A. Kanté France 21 Midfielder 180 75
W. Lankshear England 21 Attacker 188 80
F. Cartwright England 19 Midfielder 185 cm 80 kg
J. Daley n/a n/a Defender n/a n/a
C. Ibeh n/a n/a Midfielder n/a n/a
Derby
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
R. Brewster England 26 Attacker 180 75
L. Salvesen Norway 30 Attacker 186 82
J. Vickers England 30 Goalkeeper 193 72
S. Szmodics Republic of Ireland 31 Attacker 168 64
C. Taylor England 33 Defender 176 70
S. Duffy Republic of Ireland 34 Defender 193 76
C. Morris England 30 Attacker 185 85
C. Forsyth Scotland 37 Defender 189 83
J. Robinson England 33 Defender 180 67
R. Nyambe Namibia 28 Defender 183 70
L. Travis England 29 Midfielder 183 83
A. Mowatt England 31 Midfielder 170 71
R. Hedges Wales 31 Midfielder 185 65
M. Clarke England 30 Defender 185 83
J. Ward England 31 Defender 167 68
C. Blackett-Taylor England 29 Attacker 180 67
R. O'Donnell England 38 Goalkeeper 188 84
J. Widell Zetterström Sweden 28 Goalkeeper 197 82
D. Sanderson England 26 Defender 188 78
F. Bilbija Germany 26 Midfielder 189 78
E. Cashin Republic of Ireland 25 Defender 180 86
O. Fraulo Denmark 22 Midfielder 180 77
S. Langås Norway 25 Defender n/a n/a
M. Johnston Scotland 22 Defender 185 83
D. Ozoh England 21 Midfielder 190 68
H. Meister Denmark 22 Attacker 192 83
B. Clark England 21 Midfielder 178 75
M. Fuseini Ghana 24 Attacker 170 n/a
C. Allen Wales 19 Midfielder n/a n/a
I. Gordon England 19 Defender n/a n/a
Owen Eames England 20 Midfielder n/a n/a
Raymond Offor Republic of Ireland 19 Defender n/a n/a
C. Smith n/a n/a Midfielder n/a n/a

Everything points to Middlesbrough as the stronger side right now, from their league position to their recent scoring form. Derby's season has been difficult by almost every measure, and nothing in their recent games suggests that's about to change.

Still, without a market to assess, there's no clear angle worth backing here. The gap in quality is obvious, but that alone isn't enough to build a confident selection around.

Who will win?


Middlesbrough (0%)
Draw (0%)
Derby (0%)
Nick Mordin.
Author
Last updated: November 2026
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