Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction

Very different recent form

Yamaga's underlying form is modest. In their last 20 matches they've won just 5, drawn 10 and lost 5, with goals almost level at 25 for and 23 against. That's a team picking up plenty of draws but not many wins.

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1

Matsumoto Yamaga to win

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Odds11

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£220.00

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Draw

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Odds5.25

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2

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win

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Odds1.2

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Matsumoto Yamaga: 20 completed matches; Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 20 completed matches.

Matsumoto Yamaga

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

45% 9 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

25

Conceded

22

Difference

+3

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

40

Conceded

22

Difference

+18

Hiroshima have been far more productive. Across their last 20 matches, spanning J1 league, cup and friendly fixtures, they've won 12, lost 5 and scored 40 goals. Their attacking output has consistently been higher than Yamaga's.

On raw form alone, Hiroshima look the sharper side going forward.

Comparative Team Statistics: Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

History doesn't tell us much now

The two sides have met five times, but the most recent meeting was back in 2019 and the two before that stretch to 2015. Results have varied wildly, including a 6-0 Hiroshima win and a couple of Yamaga victories too.

With so much time passed and both clubs now sitting in different divisions, that old head-to-head record carries little weight on this occasion.

A yellow card note for Yamaga

The only disciplinary detail we have shows T. Inafuku picking up a yellow card across his last two appearances for Yamaga. That's not proof he'll be missing, just something worth keeping an eye on.

Matsumoto Yamaga:

Penalty cards:

T. Inafuku x 1

A cup tie across the divisions

Hiroshima arrive as the clearly stronger side on paper, playing week to week in J1 against better opposition than Yamaga see in J3. Cup games like this can sometimes see a top-flight side rotate their squad, though we've no lineup details to confirm that here.

Yamaga, for their part, have shown they can grind out draws against sides of a similar level, but turning that into a positive result against a J1 outfit would be a different test altogether.

The level gap favours Hiroshima, but cup unpredictability and possible rotation keep it from being a formality.