Mansfield Town vs Notts County Prediction

Two very different recent patterns

Mansfield's last 20 matches across all competitions show six wins, six draws and eight losses, with 32 scored and 36 conceded. That's a team capable of big scorelines in both directions, including a 5-0 win over Reading and a 5-2 win over Luton, but also some heavy defeats.

Mansfield Town: 20 completed matches; Notts County: 20 completed matches.

Mansfield Town

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

38

Difference

-6

Notts County

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

23

Conceded

21

Difference

+2

Notts County's equivalent run reads six wins, eight draws and six losses, with 23 scored and 21 conceded. It's a tighter, lower-scoring profile, built on plenty of draws rather than big wins or big losses.

Mansfield look more likely to produce goals at either end, while Notts County's games have tended to stay closer.

Comparative Team Statistics: Mansfield Town vs Notts County

A long rivalry, mostly from a different era

These two have met plenty of times down the years, stretching back to 2014, but almost all of it came during their League Two days. The most recent meeting was in February 2024, when Mansfield won 1-0 at home, following a 4-1 Notts County win the previous season.

None of that really tells us much about either side's current form, given how long ago most of these meetings were and the different level they were played at.

Both sides sat close together near the bottom

After seven games, Mansfield are 17th with eight points from two wins, two draws and three defeats. Notts County sit just below them in 20th, on seven points from one win and four draws.

It's an early-season picture rather than a settled one, but right now there's barely a point between the two clubs.

With so little separating them on paper, home advantage could matter more than usual here.

Early-season contributors

Mansfield's N. Moriah-Welsh and R. Hendry have each set up two goals in their sample of matches, while Notts County's N. Tsaroulla has matched that with two assists of his own. On the disciplinary side, Mansfield's L. Reed and R. Sweeney have picked up three yellow cards apiece, and O. Dodgson has already seen red once in four games.

Mansfield Town:

Best assist providers:

N. Moriah-Welsh - 2

R. Hendry - 2

Penalty cards:

O. Dodgson x 1

L. Reed x 3

R. Sweeney x 3

Notts County:

Best assist providers:

N. Tsaroulla - 2

These are partial snapshots rather than full squad records, so they're more about who's been involved than a guide to who will definitely play here.

What the numbers suggest

Put the pieces together and this looks like a fixture between two teams still finding consistency. Mansfield have shown they can score heavily and concede heavily, while Notts County have leaned on tighter, lower-scoring games that often end in draws.

With the table so close and both sides' recent form a mixed bag across different competitions, there's no obvious favourite jumping out from the data alone.