Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction

How each side has been playing

Medellín's last 20 matches across competitions read 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses, with 33 goals scored against 25 conceded. That's a healthy return, though it includes a few scrappy results mixed in with the wins, including a heavy Copa Colombia defeat to Deportivo Pasto and a league loss to Deportivo Pereira.

Independiente Medellin: 20 completed matches; Alianza Petrolera: 20 completed matches.

Independiente Medellin

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

33

Conceded

25

Difference

+8

Alianza Petrolera

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

20

Conceded

31

Difference

-11

Alianza's equivalent sample is tougher reading: 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses, with 20 goals for and 30 against. They've shown they can win games, including a couple of away wins in September, but the heavier defeats keep creeping back in, such as the 1-5 reverse against Atlético Nacional.

Medellín's form looks sturdier overall, but neither side has been fully consistent.

Comparative Team Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Petrolera

A long-running fixture

These two have faced each other many times over the years, and the head-to-head is fairly even when you look across the full set of results. The most recent meeting back in April saw Medellín win 1-0 away at Alianza, continuing a run of tight, low-scoring contests between the sides, with two of the last few meetings ending level at 1-1.

There's no obvious pattern of one side dominating recently. Results have swung between narrow wins and draws rather than one-sided scorelines.

Where they sit

In the wider table that covers 19 games played, Medellín sit 11th with 26 points, while Alianza are down in 17th with 17 points. A separate, shorter table covering 10 games shows an even bigger split, with Medellín 5th on 19 points and Alianza 19th on just 8.

Both snapshots point the same way: Medellín are comfortably the higher-placed side right now, even if the exact context behind the two different tables isn't fully clear.

Players to watch

Medellín's J. Montaño has chipped in with 4 assists across 26 appearances, a reasonable creative contribution from midfield or wide areas. On the disciplinary side, Alianza's C. Esparragoza has picked up 10 yellow cards in 22 matches without a red, while Medellín's Y. González has 4 yellows and a red in 18 games.

Independiente Medellin:

Best assist providers:

J. Montaño - 4

Penalty cards:

Y. González x 2 x 4

Alianza Petrolera:

Penalty cards:

C. Esparragoza x 10

Neither entry confirms who'll actually start this one, but both sides have players carrying some card risk into the fixture.