Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa Prediction & Betting Tips

Form guide

Chivas' last 20 matches, across league, Leagues Cup and friendly fixtures, read 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses, with 27 scored and 18 conceded. That's a solid recent sample, even allowing for the mix of competitions involved.

Guadalajara Chivas: 20 completed matches; Necaxa: 20 completed matches.

Guadalajara Chivas

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

20

Difference

+7

Necaxa

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

31

Difference

-7

Necaxa's equivalent run is 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses, scoring 24 but shipping 31. They've leaked goals fairly often, home and away, which is the bigger worry heading into this one.

Chivas' defensive numbers stand out more than their attacking ones, while Necaxa's problem looks to be at the back rather than up front.

Comparative Team Statistics: Guadalajara Chivas vs Necaxa

Head-to-head history

These two have met regularly since at least 2017, and it's been a fairly even series over that stretch, with both sides picking up wins at each other's ground. The most recent meeting, back in April, finished 0-0 in Necaxa's favour of the scoreline at least, and the one before that saw Chivas win 3-1 at home.

Go back further and there are some lopsided results too, including a 4-0 Necaxa win a few years back. It's not a fixture where recent league form has always translated cleanly onto the pitch.

Necaxa have found a way to get something from this fixture before even when they weren't the better side on paper.

Where they sit

Chivas are second in the table after nine games, with 18 points from five wins, three draws and just one defeat. Their goal difference of plus nine backs up a strong overall campaign so far.

Necaxa, by contrast, sit 15th with eight points from the same number of matches, having won only twice. Their goal difference sits at minus six, which lines up with the leaky form we mentioned earlier.

Players to watch

Necaxa's main threat is J. Carranza, who has five goals in eight appearances this season, a decent return given how much his side have struggled overall. He's also picked up a red card in that spread, alongside teammate L. Jiménez, so discipline has been an issue at times.

Guadalajara Chivas:

Best assist providers:

R. Marín - 2

Penalty cards:

Á. Sepúlveda x 1

O. Govea x 1

Necaxa:

Best scorers:

J. Carranza - 5

Penalty cards:

J. Carranza x 1

L. Jiménez x 1

Chivas' scoring looks more shared out, with R. Alvarado on three goals and R. Marín chipping in two assists in nine games each. Their own discipline record includes a red card for Á. Sepúlveda, so neither side is spotless in that department.

Carranza's scoring record means Necaxa still carry some threat, even with the team well off the pace elsewhere.

How this could play out

Put the current form and table together and Chivas look the side more likely to control this game. They've been scoring freely and defending well, and they're at home against a team that's shipped goals regularly this season.

That said, Chivas have drawn eight times in their last 20 matches, so they're not always ruthless, and Necaxa have shown in the past they can turn up for this particular fixture regardless of league position. A tight, scrappy game is well within the realms of possibility.